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Orbis Investments

Six courageous questions for 2026

Orbis' investment leaders explore six key questions investors should be asking to test assumptions and sharpen their thinking. For each, they set out what is known, what is unknown, what would change minds, and the implications for portfolios.

Sunrise on Venus: Preparing for the investing environment of the next decade

Using long-term data, this paper looks at how we got here, which equities are at risk, why the investing world is changing, and how investors can prepare for the decade ahead.

Value investing myths, debunked

As the growth versus value debate intensifies, this report from Orbis seeks to debunk three oft-repeated myths about value investing with hard data and considered analysis.

Allan’s Legacy - Investment Thinking

Orbis founder Allan Gray's distinctive investment philosophy has been in place at Orbis since inception. This paper highlights a small selection of the investment insights that have resonated most with those who worked with Allan over the years.

Active Management: A Practitioner’s Perspective

The chorus proclaiming the “death of active management” has grown louder in recent years and there has been a massive shift of capital out of active and into passive strategies.

Value and Growth Investing in Perspective

If value investing works so well over the long term, why has the performance of value shares been so dismal over the past five years? We look at the historical relationship between and value and growth shares.

Latest Updates

Investment strategies

Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Investment strategies

21 reasons we’re nearing the end of a secular bull market

Nearly all the indicators an investor would look for suggest that this secular bull market is approaching its end. My models forecast that the US is set for 0% annual returns over the next decade.

Property

13 million spare bedrooms: Rethinking Australia’s housing shortfall

We don’t have a housing shortage; we have housing misallocation. This explores why so many bedrooms go unused, what’s been tried before, and five things to unlock housing capacity – no new building required.

Investment strategies

Market entry – dip your toe or jump in all at once?

Lump sum investing usually wins, but it can hurt if markets fall. Using 50 years of Australian data, we reveal when staging your entry protects you, and when it drags on returns. 

Investment strategies

The US$21 trillion question: is AI an opportunity or excess?

It has been years since the US stock market has been so focused on a single driving theme, and AI is unquestionably that theme. This explores what it means for US and global markets in 2026.

Economy

US energy strategy holds lessons for Australia

The US has elevated energy to a national security priority, tying cheap, reliable power to economic strength, AI leadership, and sovereignty. This analyses the new framework and its implications for Australia.

Strategy

Venezuela’s democratic roots are deeper than Trump knows

Most people know Maduro was a dictator and Venezuela has oil. Few grasp the depth of suffering or the country’s democratic history - essential context as the US ousts Maduro and charts Venezuela’s future. 

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