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Edition: White Papers 2021

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Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2022: Striking a better balance

Although the COVID-19 pandemic will remain a critical factor in 2022, the outlook for macroeconomic policy will likely be more crucial.

Global equities in 2022 and beyond

The sharp rebound in economic activity over the last year has been driven by the extraordinary amount of post-pandemic stimulus. The pace of economic growth is now slowing, and that’s because stimulus has faded.

The role of bonds in a low-yield environment

This paper from Vanguard explores how bonds act as shock absorbers for portfolios when equity markets are under stress.

Australian Ethical Sustainability Report for 2021

Australian Ethical has expanded its reporting to take a deeper look at its advocacy initiatives, climate action, alignment to the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), community support and people and culture highlights.

Five reasons to expect a cooling property market and falling prices in 2023

The main drivers behind the expected slowdown in Australian home prices are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; and a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risk on the upside would be a fast return to pre-covid immigration.

The Long View: The Peak in Peaks

In the latest ‘Anatomy of  a Recession’ series, ClearBridge Investments says that as the global economy normalises, U.S. growth should weather the peak in peaks and remain above trend for the following 12 to 18 months.

The rise of the middle class in Asia

Asia is at an inflection point too important to ignore. It is already the world’s largest economic region and is forecast to deliver around two thirds of global growth over the next two decades.

The case for a strategic allocation to EMD in Australian portfolios

With equity valuations at all-time highs, fixed income yields at or near historic lows and volatility top of mind for investors, the emerging market debt (EMD) asset class may warrant a closer look for Australian investors.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 4Q 2021

The immediate hurdles that we believe investors need to clear include supply disruptions and rising input costs, tighter fiscal and monetary conditions, and threats to growth in China. But which markets do we favor when core government bond yields remain so low?

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2021

A potential default in China and shifting policy in Europe have been key developments in an environment of volatility and higher yields. Investors should focus on reorienting portfolios in light of the 'two-way' investment environment that will likely emerge in 2022.

Martin Currie: Investing to improve lives

At Martin Currie our purpose is Investing to Improve Lives. Whether as stewards of our clients’ capital, as investors in equity markets or as members of our local and global communities, we never forget the responsibilities our work brings.

Investing under uncertain inflation

Important questions for investors during this spike in inflation: How long will higher inflation persist, how do you protect your portfolio from it and what do you do if central banks do a U-turn and try to control it?

Most viewed in recent weeks

A tonic for turbulent times: my nine tips for investing

Investing is often portrayed as unapproachably complex. Can it be distilled into nine tips? An economist with 35 years of experience through numerous market cycles and events has given it a shot.

Rival standard for savings and incomes in retirement

A new standard argues the majority of Australians will never achieve the ASFA 'comfortable' level of retirement savings and it amounts to 'fearmongering' by vested interests. If comfortable is aspirational, so be it.

Dalio v Marks is common sense v uncommon sense

Billionaire fund manager standoff: Ray Dalio thinks investing is common sense and markets are simple, while Howard Marks says complex and convoluted 'second-level' thinking is needed for superior returns.

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 467

Fund manager reports for last financial year are drifting into client mailboxes, and many of the results are disappointing. With some funds giving back their 2021 gains, why did they not reduce their exposure to hot stocks when faced with rising inflation and rates?

  • 21 July 2022

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 466 with weekend update

Heard the word, cakeism? As in, 'having your cake and eating it too'. The Reserve Bank wants to simultaneously fight inflation by taking away spending power, while not driving the economy into a recession. If you want to help, stop buying stuff.

  • 14 July 2022

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 465 with weekend update

Many thanks for the thousands of revealing comments in our survey on retirement experiences. We discuss the full results. And with the ASX200 down 10%, the US S&P500 off 20% and bond prices tanking, each investor faces the new financial year deciding whether to sit, sell or invest more.

  • 7 July 2022

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