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AMP Capital

Five reasons to expect a cooling property market and falling prices in 2023

The main drivers behind the expected slowdown in Australian home prices are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; and a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risk on the upside would be a fast return to pre-covid immigration.

Five ways to turn down the noise and stay focused as an investor

The risks around investing seem to receive ever higher prominence these days as the digital age enables the rapid dissemination of news and opinion. The danger is that all this noise is making us worse investors as we lurch from one worry to the next. The key to investor success is to manage the noise and stay focussed.

The 2021-22 Australian Budget

The 2021-22 Budget sees the Government ditch its plan to start budget repair (or austerity) once unemployment is 'comfortably below 6%' in favour of continuing to focus on growing the economy to drive full employment and, in doing so, repair the budget that way.

Bull market in Australian house prices may be close to the end

So here we go again with yet another cyclical property boom against the backdrop of poor affordability and high debt levels! Of course we all know this, but how does the latest upswing fit in the context of the long-term or secular swings in the Australian property market?

Market outlook 2021 Q&A

A Q&A on the investment outlook including the global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash and Australian house prices.

Real Assets Outlook

From across AMP Capital’s global offices, various Infrastructure and Real Assets teams share their key themes for the year ahead and how investors can access the opportunities that emerge.

Latest Updates

Fixed interest

Higher yields are creating opportunities in global bonds

Bond markets are adjusting to a new reality, but not in the ways investors expect. With markets repricing and capital competing for attention, investors may need to rethink where resilience and opportunity lie. 

Economy

Are we in a recession?

What if the warning signs are already everywhere? From supermarket aisles to company failures, investors are being bombarded with recession signals. But most face a different risk that can be just as dangerous for portfolios. 

SMSF strategies

Meg on SMSFs - Division 296 actuarial certificates

The tax bill might be yours, but the event that caused it may not be. A key Division 296 calculation can sometimes attribute earnings in ways that many SMSF trustees won't instinctively expect or fully appreciate.

Property

The first impact of negative gearing reform is not the tax bill

Negative gearing changes formally begin in 2027, but the first consequences may already be here. A subtle shift is quietly influencing who can borrow, how much they can access and which property strategies still stack up.

Economy

The oil market is running out of easy answers

The biggest threat to markets may not be what investors are watching. The numbers have stopped adding up and supply is harder to measure, with forecasts becoming simple guesses. A more fragile reality is being masked.

Investment strategies

The state of investor knowledge in Australia

Australians are investing more than ever, yet a surprising divide is emerging between those building wealth effectively and those making costly mistakes. Surprisingly, the gap has little to do with income, age or starting capital.

Taxation

Complexity and capital gains

A case study shows that the ‘30% minimum CGT’ is a poorly conceived tax that adds significant complexity to an already over-complex system. A less complicated model would create a much fairer progressive tax scale.

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