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Five reasons to expect a cooling property market and falling prices in 2023

The main drivers behind the expected slowdown in Australian home prices are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; and a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risk on the upside would be a fast return to pre-covid immigration.

Five ways to turn down the noise and stay focused as an investor

The risks around investing seem to receive ever higher prominence these days as the digital age enables the rapid dissemination of news and opinion. The danger is that all this noise is making us worse investors as we lurch from one worry to the next. The key to investor success is to manage the noise and stay focussed.

The 2021-22 Australian Budget

The 2021-22 Budget sees the Government ditch its plan to start budget repair (or austerity) once unemployment is 'comfortably below 6%' in favour of continuing to focus on growing the economy to drive full employment and, in doing so, repair the budget that way.

Bull market in Australian house prices may be close to the end

So here we go again with yet another cyclical property boom against the backdrop of poor affordability and high debt levels! Of course we all know this, but how does the latest upswing fit in the context of the long-term or secular swings in the Australian property market?

Market outlook 2021 Q&A

A Q&A on the investment outlook including the global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash and Australian house prices.

Real Assets Outlook

From across AMP Capital’s global offices, various Infrastructure and Real Assets teams share their key themes for the year ahead and how investors can access the opportunities that emerge.

Latest Updates

Economy

Why we should follow Canada and cut migration

An explosion in low-skilled migration to Australia has depressed wages, killed productivity, and cut rental vacancy rates to near decades-lows. It’s time both sides of politics addressed the issue.

Investing

Simple maths says the AI investment boom ends badly

This AI cycle feels less like a revolution and more like a rerun. Just like fibre in 2000, shale in 2014, and cannabis in 2019, the technology or product is real but the capital cycle will be brutal. Investors beware.

Property

Australian house price speculators: What were you thinking?

Australian housing’s 50-year boom was driven by falling rates and rising borrowing power — not rent or yield. With those drivers exhausted, future returns must reconcile with economic fundamentals. Are we ready?

Shares

ASX reporting season: Room for optimism

Despite mixed ASX results, the market has shown surprising resilience. With rate cuts ahead and economic conditions improving, investors should look beyond short-term noise and position for a potential cyclical upswing.

Property

A Bunnings play without the hefty price tag

BWT Trust has moved to bring management in house. Meanwhile, many of the properties it leases to Bunnings have been repriced to materially higher rents. This has removed two of the key 'snags' holding back the stock.

Investment strategies

Replacing bank hybrids with something similar

With APRA phasing out bank hybrids from 2027, investors must reassess these complex instruments. A synthetic hybrid strategy may offer similar returns but with greater control and clearer understanding of risks.

Shares

Nvidia's CEO is selling. Here's why Aussie investors should care

The magnitude of founder Jensen Huang’s selldown may seem small, but the signal is hard to ignore. When the person with the clearest insight into the company’s future starts cashing out, it’s worth asking why.

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