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Edition: 187

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Edition 187

  • 27 January 2017

It's traditional for the first edition in a new year to make predictions, and it's easy to pontificate about Trump, China, Russia, Brexit and markets. But how much value is that to long-term investors, when most market punditry in 2016 became an embarrassment? Nobody knows the impact of Trump in the top job, and yet stock markets have rallied strongly after this plunge into the unknown.

Howard Marks on expert opinions as a coin toss

The memo from Howard Marks titled 'Expert Opinion' explains how forecasting is more art than science, and we give too much weight to many expert opinions which are little more than a 50-50 guess.

Second-level thinking on Australian banks

Understanding the difference between first- and second-level thinking can make for more informed investment decisions, finding things others miss or bringing insights others don’t possess.

10 tips for winding up an SMSF

Regardless of why an SMSF needs winding up, certain steps must be followed to do it correctly. This list will help SMSFs trustees stay on the right side of the law and allow for a smoother audit process.

ETF industry predictions for 2017

Australia's ETF industry saw significant growth in 2016, and 2017 looks set to continue this trend, driven especially by younger generations who prefer self-directed investment strategies.

A defining year for super requires your input

An appeal for interested parties to contribute to the government's discussion paper on post-retirement products, now called 'MyRetirement' solutions, to be offered within the superannuation system.

Looking behind the screens of ESG investing

ESG investing is becoming more of a mainstream consideration for investors. Asset managers are facing the challenge of having to meet clients' non-material requirements as well as their long-term financial goals.

Is the super withdrawal and re-contribution strategy over?

The advantages of using re-contributions to minimise taxable components within super will dry up after 1 July 2017, but those in a position to make the most of it now, should consider seeking advice and doing so.

Most viewed in recent weeks

Noel Whittaker’s take on the budget

Marketed as a fix for inequality and housing affordability, the latest budget instead delivers a tangle of tax changes that leave everyday Australians worse off.

Australia has no death duties. Technically.

Australia may not levy formal death duties, but a growing web of tax measures is quietly shaping what wealth passes between generations. Now, the 2026 budget adds another layer.

Lithium's rally is real this time – but no-one trusts it

The lithium rally mirrors the early-2010s tech stock surge, with demand set to double by 2030. Supply has been slow to respond, creating a market deficit for future tech like humanoid robotics and solid-state batteries.

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 662 with weekend update

The debate over the budget is increasingly shaped by frustration and perceptions of unfairness, rather than clear-eyed assessment of policy outcomes.

How inflation is quietly moving the goalposts on retirement

Inflation doesn’t just raise today’s bills - it quietly increases the amount needed to retire, while simultaneously making it harder to save. Three steps to take before June 30th to improve retirement outcomes.

How to minimise tax with a will

Inheritance tax implications in Australia may surprise some, as poor estate planning without proper wills or trusts can lead to costly tax bills and delays for beneficiaries.

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