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29 October 2025
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The Asset Allocation Committee (AAC) came into 2025 with a base case of improving economic growth and decelerating inflation that was supportive for risk assets, while noting that uncertainty around tariffs greatly widened the dispersion of potential outcomes. Now that President Donald Trump is back in office, his policies have indeed been as disruptive as we could have imagined, and trade policy more disruptive than almost anyone expected. We believe that the announcements on April 2 are an opening stance that invites negotiation from trading partners, and that the final tariff outcome will be less costly than the worst estimates. While it is likely that, whatever the final outcome, some lasting damage has been done, we expect U.S. business and markets to regain their animal spirits once the worst of the disruption from tariffs and government spending cuts dissipates in favor of tax-cut extensions and deregulation. That said, President Trump’s approach not only to trade but to longstanding security alliances has already prompted pro-growth policy action in other regions, especially Europe. That growth catalyst has led us to upgrade our outlook for these economies and equity markets, both in absolute terms and relative to the U.S., which in turn results in an upgrade to our view on global equities. These views reinforce our theme of broadening performance in equity markets, but with a growing emphasis on broadening by region as well as by size, style and sector. At the same time, tail risks clearly remain elevated, leading the Committee to maintain a balanced view on asset allocation and a continued focus on assets that can act as ballast against either a growth slowdown or a return to rising inflation.
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Younger Australians think they’ll need $100k a year in retirement - nearly double what current retirees spend. Expectations are rising fast, but are they realistic or just another case of lifestyle inflation?
In any year since 1875, if you'd invested in the ASX, turned away and come back eight years later, your average return would be 120% with no negative periods. It's just one of the must-have stats that all investors should know.
Five mega trends point to risks of a more inflation prone and lower growth environment. This, along with rich market valuations, should constrain medium term superannuation returns to around 5% per annum.
Whether for yourself or a family member, it’s never too early to start thinking about aged care. This looks at the best ways to plan ahead, as well as the changes coming to aged care from November 1 this year.
Labor has caved to pressure on key parts of the Division 296 tax, though also added some important nuances. Here are six experts’ views on the changes and what they mean for you.
If you need income then buying dividend stocks makes perfect sense. But if you don’t then it makes little sense because it’s likely to limit building real wealth. Here’s what you should do instead.
With investor sentiment shifting and ETFs surging ahead, we pit Australia’s biggest LICs against their ETF rivals to see which delivers better returns over the short and long term. The results are revealing.
More Australians are retiring with larger mortgages and less super. This paper explores how unlocking housing wealth can help ease the nation’s growing retirement cashflow crunch.
Investing in the ASX 20 or 200 requires vigilance. Blue chips aren’t immune to failure, and the old belief that you can simply hold them forever is outdated.
Adding high-quality compounders at attractive valuations is difficult in an efficient market. However, during the volatile FY25 reporting season, an opportunity arose to increase a position in Mexican fast-food chain GYG.
Factor-based ETFs are bridging the gap between active and passive investing, giving investors low-cost access to proven drivers of long-term returns such as quality, value, momentum and dividend yield.
In Breakneck, Dan Wang contrasts China’s “engineering state” with America’s “lawyerly society,” showing how these mindsets drive innovation, dysfunction, and reshape global power amid rising rivalry.
The rules to age successfully include, 'the unexamined life lasts longer', 'change no more than one-eighth of your life at a time', 'nobody is thinking about you', and 'pursue virtue but don’t sweat it'.