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Neuberger

Solving for 2021: The world after the coronavirus

Neuberger Berman's senior investment leaders look to the coming year in the global economy and markets and identify key themes they anticipate will guide investment decisions in 2021.

A very bond-friendly crisis

Neuberger Berman's fixed income team believe the COVID-19 crisis and the response from governments and central banks creates an unusually favorable macro environment for credit.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q20

Attempts to flatten but lengthen the growth curve of COVID-19 infections through social distancing and self-isolation will hopefully save lives and keep healthcare systems running. The price to pay is a steep reduction in economic activity.

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q20

With a stable economy likely to provide a positive environment for credit this year, shifts in monetary policy could contribute to more frequent volatility in fixed income markets, while political developments will be an ongoing risk.

Solving for 2020

The heads of Neuberger Berman’s investment platforms identified the key themes they anticipate will guide investment decisions in 2020. These 10 themes are discussed in detail in this report.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 4Q19

Neuberger Berman’s Asset Allocation Committee meets quarterly to poll its members on their outlook for the next 12 months on each of the asset classes noted and, through debate and discussion, refines its own market outlook.

Latest Updates

Fixed interest

Higher yields are creating opportunities in global bonds

Bond markets are adjusting to a new reality, but not in the ways investors expect. With markets repricing and capital competing for attention, investors may need to rethink where resilience and opportunity lie. 

Economy

Are we in a recession?

What if the warning signs are already everywhere? From supermarket aisles to company failures, investors are being bombarded with recession signals. But most face a different risk that can be just as dangerous for portfolios. 

SMSF strategies

Meg on SMSFs - Division 296 actuarial certificates

The tax bill might be yours, but the event that caused it may not be. A key Division 296 calculation can sometimes attribute earnings in ways that many SMSF trustees won't instinctively expect or fully appreciate.

Property

The first impact of negative gearing reform is not the tax bill

Negative gearing changes formally begin in 2027, but the first consequences may already be here. A subtle shift is quietly influencing who can borrow, how much they can access and which property strategies still stack up.

Economy

The oil market is running out of easy answers

The biggest threat to markets may not be what investors are watching. The numbers have stopped adding up and supply is harder to measure, with forecasts becoming simple guesses. A more fragile reality is being masked.

Investment strategies

The state of investor knowledge in Australia

Australians are investing more than ever, yet a surprising divide is emerging between those building wealth effectively and those making costly mistakes. Surprisingly, the gap has little to do with income, age or starting capital.

Taxation

Complexity and capital gains

A case study shows that the ‘30% minimum CGT’ is a poorly conceived tax that adds significant complexity to an already over-complex system. A less complicated model would create a much fairer progressive tax scale.

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