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Edition: 445

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 445 with weekend update

  • 10 February 2022
  • 3

In recent years, investors have relied on the 'Fed put', the belief that if the stockmarket falls, the US Fed will ease monetary policy and rescue the market. It worked in 2018 and 2020, but there are dangers assuming conditions are the same in 2022. With the US comprising well over half of global equity market values, we all know what happens if the US sneezes.

Last interview with Hamish Douglass before medical leave

Last week, I interviewed Hamish Douglass about investing and positions in his portfolio. He was articulate, confident and relaxed, but a few days later, the Board of Magellan announced he was taking medical leave.

Mike Murray on watching for the changing narrative

Australian Ethical explains its first move into active ETFs, Murray's best investments and one he'd prefer to forget, a stock he will hold for 10 years, and why they hold supermarkets that sell tobacco and alcohol.

What are the advantages and disadvantages of family trusts?

Family trusts are used to hold wealth, with benefits like asset protection, tax planning, capital gains tax discount and ability to carry forward losses. But there are disadvantages that must be weighed up.

Infrastructure assets are well placed for inflation era

In theory, unlisted infrastructure should be priced at discounts to listed assets due to their illiquidity. In fact, the opposite has been the case, but both types are positioned to withstand the inflation threat.

The relationship between inflation and commercial property

Commercial real estate has historically provided a solid hedge and performed well in periods where inflation has increased against the backdrop of economic expansionary periods. What happens as interest rates rise?

Four big ideas in the small cap space

Most small cap managers outperformed their benchmark in 2021, with more choice and diversity of companies than the big end of town. Small caps are often overlooked and operate in niches with less competition.

Australia is at a crossroads and must support new ideas

The composition of the S&P/ASX 200 resembles that of a developing nation rather than our larger Western peers. How do we continue to grow our economy while evolving to remain competitive on the global stage?

Most viewed in recent weeks

Maybe it’s time to consider taxing the family home

Australia could unlock smarter investment and greater equity by reforming housing tax concessions. Rethinking exemptions on the family home could benefit most Australians, especially renters and owners of modest homes.

Supercharging the ‘4% rule’ to ensure a richer retirement

The creator of the 4% rule for retirement withdrawals, Bill Bengen, has written a new book outlining fresh strategies to outlive your money, including holding fewer stocks in early retirement before increasing allocations.

Simple maths says the AI investment boom ends badly

This AI cycle feels less like a revolution and more like a rerun. Just like fibre in 2000, shale in 2014, and cannabis in 2019, the technology or product is real but the capital cycle will be brutal. Investors beware.

Why we should follow Canada and cut migration

An explosion in low-skilled migration to Australia has depressed wages, killed productivity, and cut rental vacancy rates to near decades-lows. It’s time both sides of politics addressed the issue.

Are franking credits worth pursuing?

Are franking credits factored into share prices? The data suggests they're probably not, and there are certain types of stocks that offer higher franking credits as well as the prospect for higher returns.

Are LICs licked?

LICs are continuing to struggle with large discounts and frustrated investors are wondering whether it’s worth holding onto them. This explains why the next 6-12 months will be make or break for many LICs.

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