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Edition: 567

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 567 with Weekend Update

  • 4 July 2024

The first half of 2024 showed, yet again, that trying to turn big macro calls into profits is extremely hard. Investors are usually better served by running their own race and controlling what they can control.

My disinterest in investments as an investment specialist

Shani Jayamanne takes a deliberately uninterested approach to investing. She outlines the technical and circumstantial reasons for why she goes against the grain and focuses on the real drivers of investment success.

US trip reveals inflection point for $6 billion global industry

Members of First Sentier Investors’ Global Listed Infrastructure team hit the road to see what’s happening in key industries across the United States. What they found has big implications for utilities.

The ATO has SMSF asset valuations in its crosshairs

SMSF trustees need to ensure they value their assets at least annually and that those valuations are fair and reasonable, based on objective and supportable data. The ATO is particularly concerned with unlisted assets such as real estate.

Should investors follow super funds into private credit?

Led by superannuation funds, institutions are piling into private credit, attracting to the high yield and steady returns on offer. Should retail investors and SMSFs allocate more money to this burgeoning asset class?

Learn from the last tech bubble and embrace GenAI mania

Using the internet bubble of the 1990s as a guide, we draw lessons for today’s investors in the Generative AI mania. Although bubbles eventually end in a bust, the mania generates capital investment that often yields long-term benefits.

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Most aged care homes are falling short of minimum care standards

A new report on Australia’s aged care sector reveals many aged care residents are not receiving the levels of care they need and are entitled to despite taxpayers having paid millions of dollars to care providers.

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Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, 2025 edition

Two years ago, I wrote an article suggesting that the odds favoured ASX shares easily outperforming residential property over the next decade. Here’s an update on where things stand today.

Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Property versus shares - a practical guide for investors

I’ve been comparing property and shares for decades and while both have their place, the differences are stark. When tax, costs, and liquidity are weighed, property looks less compelling than its reputation suggests.

10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

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