Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 340

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 340

  •   15 January 2020
  • 1
  •      
  •   

Companies hit by technology disruptions from competitors often face tough decisions hanging on to customers. It's why investment analysts look for strong 'economic moats' in the best companies. For example, Morningstar's definition is:

"An economic moat is a structural feature that allows a firm to sustain excess profits over a long period of time. Without a moat, profits are more susceptible to competition."

Technology can destroy moats, and it's happening to Foxtel. Two years ago, I was paying Telstra $238 a month in a bundle for high-speed broadband and Foxtel. Realising we did not watch many channels, we separated Foxtel and reduced the channels, paying $113 to Foxtel alone. With the growth of streaming services such as Stan and Netflix costing $10 to $14 a month, and sport on Kayo for $25, our Foxtel cost was too high. Worse, Foxtel was offering new subscribers the service we wanted for $58 a month.

In calls to Foxtel asking for the $58 rate, we were reminded we had been "loyal for 19 years" but we were told the $58 rate was only for new customers. How do we become a new customer? By returning all the Foxtel equipment at their cost, waiting 30 days, then they would post the equipment back to us and we could go on the $58 rate. So that's one strategy to retain customers.

Foxtel's 'churn' rose to 14.4% in 2019 versus 12.9% the previous year, and parent News Corp has lent it $700 million as the losses build. We have realised the streaming services and free channels on chromecast meet our needs.

Foxtel's business decision is the same reason banks offer worse home loan and deposit rates to existing customers, and inertia pays off for a while. However, it's possible that the new flexibility of Open Banking will do to the incumbent banks what streaming has done to Foxtel. A moat is a moat until it leaks.

There are few greater changes in our lives than the smartphone, and on the just-passed anniversary of Steve Jobs launching the first iphone on 9 January 2007, it's fascinating to see how far we have come in only a dozen years. Said Jobs at the launch:

"Every once in a while, a revolutionary product comes along that changes everything ... today, we’re introducing three revolutionary products of this class ... an iPod, a phone, and an internet communicator. Are you getting it? These are not three separate devices, this is one device, and we are calling it iPhone."

These early Apple launches were like religious events, and they destroyed competitors. No doubt Nokia once had a moat. As the following chart from Statista on smartphone shipments shows, Apple's ongoing success comes not from dominating sales, but its remarkable ecosystem and quality that commands a price premium.

In this week's edition ...

In a year when many funds delivered stellar results, geared funds are near the top of 2019 league tables. We explain how this was achieved, but warn about the asymmetry of results. For those tempted to borrow to invest in shares, Roger Montgomery describes his optimistic assessment of the market.

Given the confidence sweeping global equity markets, many at all-time highs, it's surprising to read Louise Watson's report on new research into attitudes of large investors. Their pessimism includes a majority expecting GFC-like conditions within a few years.

Over many years, state and national governments have introduced a wide range of benefits for retirees, but as Brendan Ryan says, not many people tap into them fully. See his enticing list of 20 opportunities.

Bank hybrids are a highly-popular alternative to term deposits despite the added risk, and Norman Derham provides a simple way to measure the yield pick up and whether the risk is worth it.

Rob Garnsworthy was a senior wealth executive at the top of the industry, but now long-retired, he admits he has turned from poacher to gamekeeper in his attitude to investing.

If you want to give to bushfire victims but are wondering if the money will be used properly, philanthropy expert Antonia Ruffell provides a list of charities and activities with strong bona fides.

This week's White Paper from BetaShares is the 2019 review of the Australian Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) market, reaching a remarkable $62 billion with 52% growth in only one year.

 

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

  •   15 January 2020
  • 1
  •      
  •   
banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Indexation implications – key changes to 2026/27 super thresholds

Stay on top of the latest changes to superannuation rates and thresholds for 2026, including increases to transfer balance cap, concessional contributions cap, and non-concessional contributions cap.

The missing 30%: how LIC returns are understated, and why it matters

The perceived underperformance of LICs compared to ETFs is due to existing comparison data excluding crucial information, highlighting the need for proper assessment and transparent reporting.

Little‑known government scheme can help retirees tap into $3 trillion of housing wealth

The Home Equity Access Scheme in Australia allows older homeowners to tap into their home equity for retirement income, yet remains underused due to lack of awareness and its perceived complexity.

Origins of the mislabeled capital gains tax ‘discount’

Debate over the CGT discount is intensifying amid concerns about intergenerational equity and housing affordability. This analysis shows that the 'discount' does not necessarily favor property investors.

2 billion reasons to fix retirement income

A proposal to address Australia's 'stranded balances' in retirement by requiring super funds to transition members to pension phase at 65, boosting retirement income and reframing super as a source of income.

Div 296 may mean your estate pays tax on assets your beneficiaries never receive

The new super tax, applying from 1 July, introduces more than just a higher rate on large balances. It brings into focus a misalignment between where wealth sits and where the tax on that wealth ultimately falls.

Latest Updates

The ultimate superannuation EOFY checklist 2026

Here is a checklist of 28 important issues you should address before June 30 to ensure your SMSF or other super fund is in order and that you are making the most of the strategies available.

Retirement

Two months into retirement

A retirement researcher's take on retirement and her focus on each of her six resource buckets to stay engaged during the transition and beyond.

Superannuation

Markets have always delivered for super fund members. What if they don’t?

What happens if market resilience in the face of ongoing geopolitical tensions ends? Potential decade-long market weakness shows the need for contingency planning.

Retirement

We tend to spend less in retirement …

Studies show that a drop in expenditure during retirement leads to a happier retirement. But when costs ramp up again later in life, it's a guaranteed income that makes spending more hurt less.

Shares

Can you value a share just using dividends?

A cow for her milk, a stock for her dividends. Investors are too quick to dismiss this valuation technique. 

Property

The 25-year property trust default is being questioned

The 33% CGT discount rate being floated isn’t random. It sits at the structural break-even between trust and company for the multi-property cohort. That’s driving the conversation we’re hearing now.

Investment strategies

Are active managers bringing a knife to a gunfight?

How passive investing has permanently changed market structure — and why sophisticated tools are now the price of survival.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.