Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 340

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 340

  •   15 January 2020
  • 1
  •      
  •   

Companies hit by technology disruptions from competitors often face tough decisions hanging on to customers. It's why investment analysts look for strong 'economic moats' in the best companies. For example, Morningstar's definition is:

"An economic moat is a structural feature that allows a firm to sustain excess profits over a long period of time. Without a moat, profits are more susceptible to competition."

Technology can destroy moats, and it's happening to Foxtel. Two years ago, I was paying Telstra $238 a month in a bundle for high-speed broadband and Foxtel. Realising we did not watch many channels, we separated Foxtel and reduced the channels, paying $113 to Foxtel alone. With the growth of streaming services such as Stan and Netflix costing $10 to $14 a month, and sport on Kayo for $25, our Foxtel cost was too high. Worse, Foxtel was offering new subscribers the service we wanted for $58 a month.

In calls to Foxtel asking for the $58 rate, we were reminded we had been "loyal for 19 years" but we were told the $58 rate was only for new customers. How do we become a new customer? By returning all the Foxtel equipment at their cost, waiting 30 days, then they would post the equipment back to us and we could go on the $58 rate. So that's one strategy to retain customers.

Foxtel's 'churn' rose to 14.4% in 2019 versus 12.9% the previous year, and parent News Corp has lent it $700 million as the losses build. We have realised the streaming services and free channels on chromecast meet our needs.

Foxtel's business decision is the same reason banks offer worse home loan and deposit rates to existing customers, and inertia pays off for a while. However, it's possible that the new flexibility of Open Banking will do to the incumbent banks what streaming has done to Foxtel. A moat is a moat until it leaks.

There are few greater changes in our lives than the smartphone, and on the just-passed anniversary of Steve Jobs launching the first iphone on 9 January 2007, it's fascinating to see how far we have come in only a dozen years. Said Jobs at the launch:

"Every once in a while, a revolutionary product comes along that changes everything ... today, we’re introducing three revolutionary products of this class ... an iPod, a phone, and an internet communicator. Are you getting it? These are not three separate devices, this is one device, and we are calling it iPhone."

These early Apple launches were like religious events, and they destroyed competitors. No doubt Nokia once had a moat. As the following chart from Statista on smartphone shipments shows, Apple's ongoing success comes not from dominating sales, but its remarkable ecosystem and quality that commands a price premium.

In this week's edition ...

In a year when many funds delivered stellar results, geared funds are near the top of 2019 league tables. We explain how this was achieved, but warn about the asymmetry of results. For those tempted to borrow to invest in shares, Roger Montgomery describes his optimistic assessment of the market.

Given the confidence sweeping global equity markets, many at all-time highs, it's surprising to read Louise Watson's report on new research into attitudes of large investors. Their pessimism includes a majority expecting GFC-like conditions within a few years.

Over many years, state and national governments have introduced a wide range of benefits for retirees, but as Brendan Ryan says, not many people tap into them fully. See his enticing list of 20 opportunities.

Bank hybrids are a highly-popular alternative to term deposits despite the added risk, and Norman Derham provides a simple way to measure the yield pick up and whether the risk is worth it.

Rob Garnsworthy was a senior wealth executive at the top of the industry, but now long-retired, he admits he has turned from poacher to gamekeeper in his attitude to investing.

If you want to give to bushfire victims but are wondering if the money will be used properly, philanthropy expert Antonia Ruffell provides a list of charities and activities with strong bona fides.

This week's White Paper from BetaShares is the 2019 review of the Australian Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) market, reaching a remarkable $62 billion with 52% growth in only one year.

 

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

  •   15 January 2020
  • 1
  •      
  •   
banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Will you run out of money in retirement?

Fear of running out has become a defining retirement anxiety. Why do some retirees die with substantial wealth while others deplete their nest egg? Evidence suggests the answer is more complicated than we think. 

Why spending more in early retirement can improve lifetime income

Conventional wisdom encourages retirees to preserve superannuation. But if those likely to qualify for the Age Pension later in life spend a little more today, it may deliver higher lifetime income and a more stable retirement.

The investment that sidesteps the new tax traps

Tax rules have changed, but many investors are still using yesterday’s strategies. Insurance bonds may offer advantages for those seeking greater control, tax efficiency and certainty about their wealth.

Testamentary trusts have secured the CGT exemption

Treasury’s latest CGT reform draft delivers a win for testamentary trusts and deceased estates, exempting estate-derived gains from the 30% floor. However, questions on death and divorce rollovers remain unresolved.

Meg on SMSFs: What do we think about reversionary pensions these days?

Reversionary pensions have long been a staple of SMSF estate planning, but are they still the best option? Meg Heffron revisits a once-clear favourite and asks whether changing super rules have shifted the balance.

How does the 4% rule stack up?

The 4% rule has long been retirement's gold standard. But after a difficult period for investors, fresh analysis suggests a more conservative approach may significantly improve the chances of making savings last.

Latest Updates

Planning

Testamentary trusts survived the trust tax. The drafting battle has just begun.

The fight over testamentary trusts looked settled. Then the draft legislation arrived. Hidden in a technical detail is a question that could force many families to rethink wills they thought were already future-proof.

Investment strategies

The new capital gains tax trap for your portfolio

Investors have long accepted one portfolio rule without much question. A major tax shift could change that calculation entirely, forcing difficult trade-offs between risk, discipline and an overlooked cost lurking beneath.

Economy

Population growth masks Australia’s productivity problem

For years, investors have benefited from a seemingly reliable growth story. But recent national accounts raise uncomfortable questions about what has really been driving Australia’s economy and whether that can continue unchecked.

Investment strategies

Why tomorrow’s winners may not be today’s index leaders

The stocks that built retirement balances over the past decade now dominate many portfolios. The new challenge is whether these companies can continue meeting the increasingly high expectations embedded in today's share prices.

Investing

What earnings surprises reveal about future returns

Sometimes the most important information in an earnings result isn't the number itself. It's the possibility that the market's assumptions have been fundamentally wrong and future earnings may look very different.

SMSF strategies

Individual SMSF Trusteeship directly liable for ATO fines

A rarely discussed detail buried in SMSF structures could dramatically change who wears the cost when something goes wrong. With penalties rising, a decision many dismissed as administrative may deserve a second look.

Investment strategies

The currency bet you didn’t know you made

Buying global shares means making two bets: on the companies and on the Australian dollar. Most investors consciously choose only the first. Last financial year, the second bet cost 8.5% in returns for many investors.

Sponsors

Alliances

  • ASA-Logo-RGB-ActiveGreen-web.png

© 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.