Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 312

Welcome to the Firstlinks Newsletter Edition 312

Welcome to the Firstlinks Newsletter Edition 312
Graham Hand

Graham Hand


Today is 27 June and 30 June is a Sunday, so take a few minutes to think about EOFY actions. From Monday, unless they receive a member request, super funds will cancel insurance on small accounts which have been inactive for 16 months. Also, bring forward expenses for a tax deduction this year. Make contributions to super today, not tomorrow, to ensure the deadline is met. What else?

It's also time to consider portfolio rebalancing for the new year. If an asset has done especially well, do you let it run or sell based on a longer-term strategic allocation? The Reserve Bank Governor, Phil Lowe, was not much help this week, as confused as anyone:

"There are investors who think the outlook is sufficiently weak that they expect central banks right around the world to cut interest rates but they are not worried about corporate profits or credit risk. I don't really understand that ... So to me it's a strange world."

According to Frontier Advisers, returns in coming years will be about half the target of CPI plus 3.5% (net after fees) used by many large superannuation funds. 

Portfolio return estimates


In the chart, DAA is Dynamic Asset Allocation, the expected returns for the next three and five year period. RTE is Return to Equilibrium over 10 years, while CMA is Capital Markets Assumptions for a long term. The DAA portfolio is a typical 70% growth, 30% defensive, and shows investors should temper their expectations for many years.

Frontier suggests investors should consider ways to improve returns such as liquid alternatives, investing in growth assets linked to secular themes, and active management.

These issues are developed in many of this week's articles ...

Our popular Interview Series continues with AMP Capital's global property head, James Maydew. He explores global real estate trends and makes the case for active management as demographics creates winners and losers.

On another major global trend, Joe Magyer describes how Australians underestimate the value of the networks effects driving many technology success stories.

Andrew Varlamos says the franking credit debate highlighted an imbalance in SMSF asset allocations, and it's a warning to set a more fit-for-purpose portfolio even if the politics has gone.

Leading Australian futurist Phil Ruthven describes company world best practice targets, and shows the industries where Australian companies are meeting the global standards.

Each year, we highlight Mary Meeker's in-depth review of internet and technology trends, and it's worth at least watching her 30-minute video summary. 

US companies use ultra-cheap debt to buy their own shares and boost earnings per share, but John O'Brien believes if the party stops any some reason, company values will be reassessed.

Senator Jane Hume, the new Assistant Minister for Superannuation, Financial Services and Financial Technology (a new title, recognising fintech's growth), has given her first speeches and interviews. Our selected highlights show her early roadmap.

This week's White Paper further develops the views of interviewee James Maydew for the Australian property market, including where the pockets of strength and weakness lie. When 48% of the index is in retail, is that the correct investment?

For an EOFY review, see our Education Centre for LIC reports, details on all ASX-listed investment products, ETF reports from Vanguard and BetaShares and hybrid pricing from NAB/nabtrade.

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

 

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

  •   28 June 2019
  •      
  •   

 

Leave a Comment:

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Testamentary trusts post-budget: Estate planning, tax reform and the ‘death tax’ debate

Proposed Budget changes to taxation are casting new uncertainty over testamentary trusts, prompting closer scrutiny of estate planning structures and the real implications of reforms still taking shape.

High quality businesses are on sale

Beneath the dominance of the ASX's largest stocks, much of the market has been left behind. High-quality companies are now trading at levels rarely seen, offering opportunities for investors willing to look deeper.

Meg on SMSFs: The CGT changes don’t impact super but what about Div 296 tax decisions?

New CGT rules could tip the scales in the super vs non-super debate. For those facing the Division 296 tax, the case for withdrawing has gotten more complex. A "comparison rate" tool may help assess decisions.

The strange effect of the 30% minimum capital gains tax

The 30% minimum tax on capital gains sits at the heart of the budget's proposed reforms. Yet the mechanics reveal anomalies that introduce unexpected distortions that raise questions about its design.

Ranking three common retirement strategies

The defining challenge of retirement isn't just about building wealth, it's about converting your lifetime savings into sustainable income. A holistic understanding of different strategies can improve long-term outcomes.

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 667 with weekend update

The downfall of the giant and three lessons for investors.

  • 18 June 2026

Latest Updates

Planning

Does your will qualify for the discretionary testamentary trust exemption?

Treasury has confirmed the exemption many families were hoping for. But buried in the fine print are two conditions that could leave some wills on the wrong side of the exemption, despite years of careful planning.

Lithium's latest drop and what it means for ASX investors

Lithium's latest sell-off has punished ASX miners as prices remain hostage to shifting expectations. The key challenge is navigating a market prone to extreme volatility despite a strong case for the long-term demand outlook.

Investment strategies

CGT reform and fund turnover: who really feels the impact?

The implications of CGT reform are far and wide. As the 50% discount gives way to inflation indexation, turnover and return profiles may become critical drivers of after-tax performance. Some strategies face a far greater hit.

Superannuation

Super was built for a very different Australia

Our retirement system was built around assumptions that no longer hold. Lower homeownership, longer lifespans and changing expectations are exposing cracks that policymakers and super funds need to address.

Retirement

Retirement in reality - 4 months in

Many people spend years planning financially for retirement but little time preparing for what comes next. Four months in, here are the surprising lessons I've learnt on finding purpose, social connection and healthy habits.

Investment strategies

After the Budget, Australia needs its own definition of quality

As tax reforms reshape investment incentives, investors should rethink what quality investing means in the uniquely concentrated Australian market, where traditional frameworks may not translate as effectively.

Datacenters are the new shale oil

Why are tech giants pouring billions into datacentres when the economics look questionable? The most dangerous words in investing may be: "everyone else is doing it". Today's AI boom has striking parallels with the shale bust.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.