Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 312

Welcome to the Firstlinks Newsletter Edition 312

Welcome to the Firstlinks Newsletter Edition 312
Graham Hand

Graham Hand


Today is 27 June and 30 June is a Sunday, so take a few minutes to think about EOFY actions. From Monday, unless they receive a member request, super funds will cancel insurance on small accounts which have been inactive for 16 months. Also, bring forward expenses for a tax deduction this year. Make contributions to super today, not tomorrow, to ensure the deadline is met. What else?

It's also time to consider portfolio rebalancing for the new year. If an asset has done especially well, do you let it run or sell based on a longer-term strategic allocation? The Reserve Bank Governor, Phil Lowe, was not much help this week, as confused as anyone:

"There are investors who think the outlook is sufficiently weak that they expect central banks right around the world to cut interest rates but they are not worried about corporate profits or credit risk. I don't really understand that ... So to me it's a strange world."

According to Frontier Advisers, returns in coming years will be about half the target of CPI plus 3.5% (net after fees) used by many large superannuation funds. 

Portfolio return estimates


In the chart, DAA is Dynamic Asset Allocation, the expected returns for the next three and five year period. RTE is Return to Equilibrium over 10 years, while CMA is Capital Markets Assumptions for a long term. The DAA portfolio is a typical 70% growth, 30% defensive, and shows investors should temper their expectations for many years.

Frontier suggests investors should consider ways to improve returns such as liquid alternatives, investing in growth assets linked to secular themes, and active management.

These issues are developed in many of this week's articles ...

Our popular Interview Series continues with AMP Capital's global property head, James Maydew. He explores global real estate trends and makes the case for active management as demographics creates winners and losers.

On another major global trend, Joe Magyer describes how Australians underestimate the value of the networks effects driving many technology success stories.

Andrew Varlamos says the franking credit debate highlighted an imbalance in SMSF asset allocations, and it's a warning to set a more fit-for-purpose portfolio even if the politics has gone.

Leading Australian futurist Phil Ruthven describes company world best practice targets, and shows the industries where Australian companies are meeting the global standards.

Each year, we highlight Mary Meeker's in-depth review of internet and technology trends, and it's worth at least watching her 30-minute video summary. 

US companies use ultra-cheap debt to buy their own shares and boost earnings per share, but John O'Brien believes if the party stops any some reason, company values will be reassessed.

Senator Jane Hume, the new Assistant Minister for Superannuation, Financial Services and Financial Technology (a new title, recognising fintech's growth), has given her first speeches and interviews. Our selected highlights show her early roadmap.

This week's White Paper further develops the views of interviewee James Maydew for the Australian property market, including where the pockets of strength and weakness lie. When 48% of the index is in retail, is that the correct investment?

For an EOFY review, see our Education Centre for LIC reports, details on all ASX-listed investment products, ETF reports from Vanguard and BetaShares and hybrid pricing from NAB/nabtrade.

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

 

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

  •   28 June 2019
  •      
  •   

 

Leave a Comment:

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Warren Buffett's final lesson

I’ve long seen Buffett as a flawed genius: a great investor though a man with shortcomings. With his final letter to Berkshire shareholders, I reflect on how my views of Buffett have changed and the legacy he leaves.

The housing market is heading into choppy waters

With rates on hold and housing demand strong, lenders are pushing boundaries. As risky products return, borrowers should be cautious and not let clever marketing cloud their judgment.

Why it’s time to ditch the retirement journey

Retirement isn’t a clean financial arc. Income shocks, health costs and family pressures hit at random, exposing the limits of age-based planning and the myth of a predictable “retirement journey".

Australia's retirement system works brilliantly for some - but not all

The superannuation system has succeeded brilliantly at what it was designed to do: accumulate wealth during working lives. The next challenge is meeting members’ diverse needs in retirement. 

The 3 biggest residential property myths

I am a professional real estate investor who hears a lot of opinions rather than facts from so-called experts on the topic of property. Here are the largest myths when it comes to Australia’s biggest asset class.

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 637 with weekend update

What should you do if you think this market is grossly overvalued? While it’s impossible to predict the future, it is possible to prepare, and here are three tips on how to best construct your portfolio for what’s ahead.

  • 13 November 2025

Latest Updates

Investment strategies

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, 2025 edition

Two years ago, I wrote an article suggesting that the odds favoured ASX shares easily outperforming residential property over the next decade. Here’s an update on where things stand today.

Property versus shares - a practical guide for investors

I’ve been comparing property and shares for decades and while both have their place, the differences are stark. When tax, costs, and liquidity are weighed, property looks less compelling than its reputation suggests.

Investment strategies

What if Trump is right?

Trump may be right on two trends: nations are shifting from aspiration to essentials and from global dependence to self-reliance, pushing capital toward security, infrastructure, and energy.

Gold

After a stellar 2025, can gold shine again next year?

Gold has had a remarkable 2025, with the spot price likely to post its strongest return since 1971. This explores the key factors that will shape the outlook for the yellow metal next year, and long-term.

Superannuation

Critics of Commonwealth defined benefit schemes have it wrong

Critics like Clime's John Abernethy have questioned many aspects of defined benefit pensions for public servants. This is an attempted rebuttal, suggesting these pensions aren't the problem they're made out to be.

Infrastructure

Why airport stocks deserve a place in long-term portfolios

Aircraft constraints are holding back global air travel. Those constraints should soon ease which combined with a structural boom in travel demand could be a boon for global airport stocks.

Investment strategies

What is the future of search in the age of AI?

Search is changing fast. AI tools like ChatGPT and Google’s Gemini are reshaping how we find information, opening new opportunities for innovation, user engagement, and future revenue growth.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.