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Edition: 190

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Edition 190

  • 17 February 2017

It is easy to feel lulled into a sense of security about interest rates, as a generation of investors has experienced little but falling rates. Despite the recent rises (see red arrow), US and Australian yields remain near record lows. Australia has the world's highest ratio of household debt to GDP, according to the Bank for International Settlements. It's frightening to consider the consequences of a 'black swan' rise in rates to the long-term US bond average of say 6% over the next couple of years, as recently forecast by legendary fund manager, Stanley Druckenmiller.

Trust alternatives after 1 July super changes

The changes to superannuation rules make rolling over an estate into a surviving spouse's pension account less attractive, reviving a role for testamentary trusts.

Preparing for the ups-and-downs of 2017

When markets deliver lower returns, investors need to save more, learn about investments and stay the course to achieve their retirement goals. Diversification is an effective way to weather uncertain times.

A study of NAB’s Subordinated Notes 2

Subordinated debt issues are a less risky investment than capital notes and hybrids, but each transaction is different and not riskless. The current issue of NAB Subordinated Notes is just one example.

Is super segregation still possible for SMSFs?

In light of the coming superannuation changes, advisers are considering alternative opportunities to retain some of the benefits, although each should be carefully checked.

Size matters for SMSF performance

There is much industry debate on the minimum size to make an SMSF worthwhile, and the range of costs can add up. A recent study of SMSF performance highlights the difference size can make.

Five ways to filter the fintech hype

Almost every day, there is a new and exciting fintech announcement of the next big thing. Some checks improve the chances of finding the financial services winners.

Most viewed in recent weeks

Making sense of record high markets as the world catches fire

The post-World War Two economic system is unravelling, leading to huge shifts in currency, bond and commodity markets, yet stocks seem oblivious to the chaos. This looks to history as a guide for what’s next.

3 ways to fix Australia’s affordability crisis

Our cost-of-living pressures go beyond the RBA: surging house prices, excessive migration, and expanding government programs, including the NDIS, are fuelling inflation, demanding bold, structural solutions.

Is there a better way to reform the CGT discount?

The capital gains tax discount is under review, but debate should go beyond its size. Its original purpose, design flaws and distortions suggest Australia could adopt a better, more targeted approach.

How cutting the CGT discount could help rebalance housing market

A more rational taxation system that supports home ownership but discourages asset speculation could provide greater financial support to first home buyers.

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 648 with weekend update

This is my last edition as Editor of Firstlinks. I’m moving onto a new role though the newsletter will remain in good hands until my permanent replacement is found.

  • 5 February 2026

It’s economic reality, not fear-based momentum, driving gold higher

Most commentary on gold's recent record highs focus on it being the product of fear or speculative momentum. That's ignoring the deeper structural drivers at play. 

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