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Edition: 249

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Cuffelinks Newsletter Edition 249

  • 20 April 2018

RC lies and damned lies, Blue Sky shorting, end of the bull run, blockchain founder, tax-free pensions, Smith v Jones, merit of two SMSFs, Third Link.

Blockchain founder on this new asset class

One of the founding fathers of blockchain technology and an expert in cryptography and distributed computing first mentioned in 1991 a blockchain that utilised digital time-stamps for ordering transactions.

End-of-cycle and riding an ageing bull

Everyone’s calling for the end of the long bull-run in equities. But we don’t know if the end is a few months or a few years away, and technological change is so vast that historical lessons need to be tempered.

Are two SMSFs worth the bother?

The use of separate SMSFs for accumulation and pensions stages to minimise tax obligations may attract the ire of the ATO, but there may be other, more legitimate, reasons for using this strategy.

Why an SMSF pension is tax-free and receives a refund

Denying imputation credit tax refunds to the SMSF as taxpayer will reduce its income, causing pension funds to deplete faster, and its members to turn to the age pension quicker. This isn’t an outcome the Government desires.

$1 million v $500,000 and accepting a pension

A reader asks whether people can stay off the age pension by reducing the amount of money they live on in retirement but not drawing on their capital.

Rising bank funding costs driven by liquidity not credit

The bank bill/OIS swap rate may seen arcane but if it stays at current elevated levels, it may increase rates for borrowers in the same way as an increase in cash rates by the Reserve Bank.

Third Link Growth Fund’s 10th anniversary

An innovative idea to donate to charities the fees paid by investors in a fund has become an annual flow of about $2 million to needy causes as the 10th anniversary is reached.

Short selling is harder than you think

The rapid price fall of Blue Sky following a poor report from a foreign seller makes it look as if short selling is easy, but there are many risks and details to consider along the way.

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Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

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Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

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10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

13 million spare bedrooms: Rethinking Australia’s housing shortfall

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