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9 October 2026

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Edition: 472

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 472 with weekend update

  • 25 August 2022
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To paraphrase the joke, if I were on a long-term investment journey, I wouldn't start from here. But there is no choice, we can't make a deal with God, and get him to swap our places. We may need to accept worse returns than we are familiar with. And Fed Chair Jerome Powell shocks the market with his hawkish stance on rates.

Are major bank hybrids really yielding 7%?

It's like magic. Compound at 7% for 10 years and an investor will double their money. So when a major bank security hits that level, it's worth understanding exactly what it means, then considering where it fits.

A one-page introduction to investing

Faced with confusing complexity which often fails to improve investment outcomes, a former managing director set himself the task of writing a one-page introduction to investing for his 18-year-old grandkids.

Meg on SMSFs: pensions and the power of partial commutations

Why does it matter what sort of payment is taken from a superannuation account? It makes sense to run down an accumulation account rather than a pension account, but what about using a 'partial commutation'.

Three factors shape whether we are at the bottom yet

Market highs and lows always have twists and turns but it never gives a big 'all clear' sign when it reaches a bottom. Three important factors provide helpful signposts for knowing when the worst will be over.

How to position your portfolio for stagflation

According to economic theory, inflation and economic growth should be inversely related. Rising prices are a sign of an expanding economy, not slower growth, so how should investors react to stagflation?

Equity investing in an inflationary environment

How do investors build resilience into equity portfolios when faced with inflation? Dividend-income could play a more important role but at extremes of inflation, global equities have tended to struggle.

Can you trust industry super fund valuations?

There is a cloud of suspicion over which was the best performing fund of the year in FY22 due to doubts about values of unlisted assets. US funds must reveal valuations but there is a lack of transparency in Australia.

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Why spending more in early retirement can improve lifetime income

Conventional wisdom encourages retirees to preserve superannuation. But if those likely to qualify for the Age Pension later in life spend a little more today, it may deliver higher lifetime income and a more stable retirement.

It’s time for LICs to die

A high-profile dividend cut and a prominent fund manager’s apology have reignited a long-running debate. If investors can access similar exposures more cheaply and efficiently elsewhere, what exactly is keeping LICs alive?

Testamentary trusts survived the trust tax. The drafting battle has just begun.

The fight over testamentary trusts looked settled. Then the draft legislation arrived. Hidden in a technical detail is a question that could force many families to rethink wills they thought were already future-proof.

Is it time to bail on Australian stocks?

For generations, Australian investors have backed banks, miners and dividends. But has that loyalty come at a cost? A look at the numbers raises an uncomfortable question about where future returns will come from.

The new capital gains tax trap for your portfolio

Investors have long accepted one portfolio rule without much question. A major tax shift could change that calculation entirely, forcing difficult trade-offs between risk, discipline and an overlooked cost lurking beneath.

The investing rule that explains the next market crash

What if investment success depends less on picking the right assets and more on understanding the decisions of other investors? A principle borrowed from game theory offers a different perspective on markets.

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