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Edition: 543

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 543 with weekend edition

  • 18 January 2024
  • 1

Brokers and fund managers are falling over themselves with positive forecasts for stock markets in 2024. Does this mean that markets are off to the races, or could it be a contrarian indicator and cause for concern?

9 investing lessons I’ve learned from owning a business

In 2016, I took the plunge: buying a 51-room motel in south-west Sydney. Since then, I've ridden the highs as well as the lowest of lows, and through it all I've learned important investing lessons from being at the coal face of a small business.

Clime time: Tailwinds for asset prices in 2024 and beyond

Inflation is yesterday's issue and markets have started to reflect that. ASX prospects look positive with consumption growth, tax cuts, infrastructure investment, and a Chinese recovery to flow through to corporate earnings.

Breaking down 2023 returns for the ASX

Despite worries about interest rates, inflation, recession and war, the Australian share market performed well in 2023. But how does last year compare to history and are there any pointers to future ASX returns?

Most older Australians want to retire where they are

Most Australians want to age at home, where they can remain connected to their communities and neighbourhoods. But renters don't always get that choice, raising critical questions for both individuals and governments.

Japan: New dawn or same old story?

A resurgent Japanese stock market has a new generation of investors asking if shareholder-friendly governance reform is finally embedded into corporate culture there. This explores the issue and what it means for investors.

Stocks don't always beat bonds

Stocks always outperform bonds in the long-term, right? New research challenges that assumption, raising questions about historical financial data, and forecasts for future performance from the two largest asset classes.

China is primed for a comeback

China is three years into a bear market and a number of investors have written it off as 'un-investable'. That spells opportunity given the problems appear manageable and great businesses are now trading at cheap prices.

Most viewed in recent weeks

Simple maths says the AI investment boom ends badly

This AI cycle feels less like a revolution and more like a rerun. Just like fibre in 2000, shale in 2014, and cannabis in 2019, the technology or product is real but the capital cycle will be brutal. Investors beware.

Why we should follow Canada and cut migration

An explosion in low-skilled migration to Australia has depressed wages, killed productivity, and cut rental vacancy rates to near decades-lows. It’s time both sides of politics addressed the issue.

Are LICs licked?

LICs are continuing to struggle with large discounts and frustrated investors are wondering whether it’s worth holding onto them. This explains why the next 6-12 months will be make or break for many LICs.

Australian house price speculators: What were you thinking?

Australian housing’s 50-year boom was driven by falling rates and rising borrowing power — not rent or yield. With those drivers exhausted, future returns must reconcile with economic fundamentals. Are we ready?

Retirement income expectations hit new highs

Younger Australians think they’ll need $100k a year in retirement - nearly double what current retirees spend. Expectations are rising fast, but are they realistic or just another case of lifestyle inflation?

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 627 with weekend update

This week, I got the news that my mother has dementia. It came shortly after my father received the same diagnosis. This is a meditation on getting old and my regrets in not getting my parents’ affairs in order sooner.

  • 4 September 2025

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