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6 February 2026

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Whitepapers: GSFM

1-21 out of 21 results.

Gold: Bugs, Bears and Myths

Despite reaching record prices, gold can play a valuable role in global portfolios as a diversifier and risk mitigator. Historically, it's one of the few assets that performs well when both equities and bonds are struggling.

Are listed equity valuations stretched? The case for rotation into private credit

As equity markets hit unprecedented valuations despite economic headwinds, the case for rotating into private credit to diversify portfolios has never been clearer.

The dollar is our currency, but it’s your problem

Similar to Nixon in 1971 and Reagan in 1985, Trump believes America cannot rebalance trade without a dramatically weaker currency. This paper discusses the likley implications for investors.

The New Global Order: Implications for Investors

Epoch TD’s Kevin Hebner explores the four ways that the new global economic order differs from the current order, the four policy priorities for the Trump Administration, the outlook for 2025-2026 and implications for investors.

Investing in climate: A defining theme for the next generation

This paper explores the key structural trends shaping the climate-related investment landscape and explains that the climate opportunity is not just about meeting sustainability targets but capturing one of the most significant investment themes of the 21st century.

A new approach to identifying global small cap opportunities

The world is in a state of flux as geopolitical risks escalate around the globe. In this context, investors could benefit from adopting a value-driven strategy and identifying compelling opportunities at the company level.

Trump, tariffs and trade

This paper examines tariffs from the American perspective, looks at China’s leading role in the ongoing trade war and discusses the macro and market consequences and implications for investors.

Three Reasons for Optimism about Asia ex-Japan Equities

After their post-Covid underperformance, Asia ex-Japan equities are poised for a turnaround. Key catalysts include anticipated Fed easing, China's policy reforms, and a burgeoning AI technology cycle, all aligning for potential outperformance.

AI and Electricity Demand: The Very Hungry Caterpillar

This paper explores how power constraints will impact the progress of AI, what the electricity demand boom means for the commodities market, as well as the implications for investors exposed to utilities and infrastructure investments.

New anchors reshaping supply chains: Opportunities for investors.

Eastspring's pulse survey across North America, Europe and Asia reveals that supply chain rebalancing is among the top priorities for businesses. As global supply chains evolve, businesses are rebalancing to not only mitigate risks but also capture opportunities.

The power of being defensive and different

Recent years have been volatile as investors have tried to forecast the trajectory for inflation, interest rates, and global growth. Conditions are looking up for equity investors now, but material uncertainty remains.

Securitized credit: More relatable and connected to daily life than you think

Securitisations are all around our daily lives, so why do they strike most of us as a complex, financially engineered labyrinth? This paper explains why securitisations exist, what opportunities they offer, and the benefits securitised credit offers a multi-asset portfolio.

The US November 2024 Election: Implications for Investors

This paper examines the key policy implications of the Biden vs. Trump rematch, particularly regarding trade, tariffs, taxes, and energy, as well as for the Fed, industrial policy, deregulation, and defense, as well as their implications for investors.

The Capital Reinvestment Story

What is the purpose of a firm? The generally accepted answer is something along the lines of “maximize the value of the business for its owners,” which in the case of a publicly traded company is the stockholders. But what does that answer really mean in practice?

AI is the New Macro Part II: An AI Powered Productivity Boom

Part II of our series examines productivity, which has been the primary determinant of our prosperity and welfare. In turn, since at least Gutenberg, technologies like AI have been the critical driver of productivity.

AI is the New Macro: Implications for the Labor Market

Generative AI is destined to be the key driver of equity markets over the next decade or so. Part I of a four part series identifies four key areas that could be impacted – labor, productivity, sector concentration and free cash flow generation.

Eight things investors can no longer rely on

Investing is not getting any easier. Now more than ever. A host of things investors have benefitted from in recent decades is likely to turn on a multi-year view. What has not changed, is the need to deliver performance.

This is why we can’t have nice things

Of late, people are blaming a variety of economic ills on an unlikely villain: the desire of investors to earn good returns on capital. But, no industry can be expected to survive if it is not creating value for its investors.

China’s “Common Prosperity”: What Does it Mean for Investors?

In 2024 the SEC will begin delisting Chinese companies that haven’t opened up their audits to U.S. oversight. Beijing has prohibited cooperation over fears that state secrets would be leaked. As a result, equity market decoupling is destined to accelerate over the next two years.

The pandemic accelerant: turbo-charging the digital economy

New business formation has soared during the pandemic, even though it typically plummets during recessions. Similarly, we have witnessed a record number of unicorn births, especially in fintech and biotech.

Moore’s Law and the race for the rest of the chessboard

The explosion of exciting breakthroughs in AI, autonomous driving, 5G, and cloud computing will drive double-digit growth in semiconductor revenues for the foreseeable future.

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Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

13 million spare bedrooms: Rethinking Australia’s housing shortfall

We don’t have a housing shortage; we have housing misallocation. This explores why so many bedrooms go unused, what’s been tried before, and five things to unlock housing capacity – no new building required.

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