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Epoch Investment Partners

The dollar is our currency, but it’s your problem

Similar to Nixon in 1971 and Reagan in 1985, Trump believes America cannot rebalance trade without a dramatically weaker currency. This paper discusses the likley implications for investors.

The New Global Order: Implications for Investors

Epoch TD’s Kevin Hebner explores the four ways that the new global economic order differs from the current order, the four policy priorities for the Trump Administration, the outlook for 2025-2026 and implications for investors.

Trump, tariffs and trade

This paper examines tariffs from the American perspective, looks at China’s leading role in the ongoing trade war and discusses the macro and market consequences and implications for investors.

AI and Electricity Demand: The Very Hungry Caterpillar

This paper explores how power constraints will impact the progress of AI, what the electricity demand boom means for the commodities market, as well as the implications for investors exposed to utilities and infrastructure investments.

The power of being defensive and different

Recent years have been volatile as investors have tried to forecast the trajectory for inflation, interest rates, and global growth. Conditions are looking up for equity investors now, but material uncertainty remains.

The US November 2024 Election: Implications for Investors

This paper examines the key policy implications of the Biden vs. Trump rematch, particularly regarding trade, tariffs, taxes, and energy, as well as for the Fed, industrial policy, deregulation, and defense, as well as their implications for investors.

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Investment strategies

Putting portfolios together when the world is falling apart

Global equity markets have grown more correlated due to globalization, but this trend may reverse which boosts the benefits of cross-country diversification.

Property

Housing belongs in the inequality story

Research highlights the significant impact of excluding housing income from income inequality analysis in Australia, arguing for the inclusion of imputed rent and capital gains to provide a more accurate picture.

Exchange traded products

Lithium's rally is real this time – but no-one trusts it

The lithium rally mirrors the early-2010s tech stock surge, with demand set to double by 2030. Supply has been slow to respond, creating a market deficit for future tech like humanoid robotics and solid-state batteries.

Economy

Why is Aussie inflation so stubborn?

Increasing our official cash rate contrasts with almost every other developed country in the world. Canada, UK, Europe, and USA, so far, have not reversed recent cuts while their inflation issues appear to be contained.

Strategy

How to stop Australian democracy going the way of the US

Around the world, democracy as a system of government is backsliding. After more than 50 years of liberal democracy in ascendancy, democratic progress plateaued around the turn of the century and is now going backwards.

Economy

Off-budget, but not off-the hook

Financial commentators await the federal budget with focus on debt and deficit. 'Off-budget' accounting alters the fiscal picture with unseen programs.

Economy

Shares rebound on hopes of war ending, but stalemate the likely outcome

Ashley Owen's abridged monthly snapshot uncovers what is front of mind for investors around the world and his view on the likely outcome of the stand-off in the Middle East.

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