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Capital Group

Economic outlook: A mixed picture for global growth in 2024

Under the weight of elevated inflation and high interest rates, the world’s major economies are diverging. Surprising resilience in the US, Japan and India is helping to boost the global economic outlook for 2024, while ongoing signs of weakness in Europe and China are tempering expectations for the new year.

Has artificial intelligence reached a commercial tipping point?

While AI is likely on the brink of causing tectonic shifts across many companies and industries, as investors, it is vital to cut through current noise to analyse developments in the sector and the opportunities that could arise.

A framework for navigating uncertainty: high-quality bonds return to traditional role

Uncertainty over inflation and central bank policy is likely to remain high during 2023 with a wide range of possible outcomes for investment returns. This analysis points to one clear implication: the importance of investing in fixed income.

Growth that matters: investing in a world in transition

Today, interdecadal shifts are happening on three fronts – inflation, interest rates and geopolitics, triggering a change in equity market leadership (from growth to value stocks). In this paper, four Capital Group investment professionals share their thoughts on the global economy and how they are investing in a world in transition.

ESG Global Study 2022

Many investors are contemplating how to integrate ESG issues into their investment decisions. For our latest ESG study, we surveyed over 1,100 global professionals, including advisors, consultants and intermediaries to obtain in-depth ESG insights, thoughts on ESG trends and views regarding ESG regulation.

Attractive opportunities remain across four key credit markets

It has been a challenging year for fixed income markets in 2022 amid rising inflation and slowing global growth. While uncertainty is likely to remain elevated, today’s starting yields offer an attractive entry point for long-term investors.

Latest Updates

Taxation

3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger

With the upcoming budget increasingly likely to include bold proposals to alter the tax code I’ve outlined three incremental steps with fewer unintended consequences.

Economy

Why an extended US-Iran war will punish mortgage holders

The impact of the Iran War is far more than expensive petrol. Higher oil prices have secondary inflationary impacts that reverberate throughout the economy which could be bad news for Australians with mortgages.

Infrastructure

Don’t forget the yield

Global Listed Infrastructure dividends are forecast to grow 5-6% p.a over the next two years. After a hiatus, share buybacks are back on the agenda and will play an integral role in shareholder returns.

Iran war hands politicians free ticket to blame oil prices for inflation

Past oil shocks offer lessons for investors dealing with the fallout from the Iran War and the ongoing impact on inflation.

Economy

Japan 2026: A new PM heralds a new golden age?

Former Australian Prime Minister, Paul Keating, once said "When you change the government, you change the country." We're about to see whether that holds true in Japan.

Investment strategies

Why are central banks moving from US Treasuries to gold?

Central banks now hold more gold reserves than US Treasuries, signalling a shift in safe-haven asset strategy and portfolio diversification as geopolitical risks increase.

Strategy

Has global human wellbeing peaked? What the data reveals

Historically economic progress is measured by GDP growth but there is an increasing body of work that explores quantitative measures of wellbeing.

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