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Edition: 493

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 493 with weekend update

  • 26 January 2023
  • 8

The best feature of stockmarkets - the liquidity at public prices - is also the worst, as it offers investors a chance to respond to every bit of noise. Plus the next big thing in OpenAI (ChatGPT) and Thornhill on dividends.

The familiar story on dividends, plus predictions for 2023

Styles come and go over the decades but quality industrial shares producing dividend income are hard to beat. Plus 10 predictions for 2023 which are sure to come true, unlike most market forecasts.

A 30-minute article using OpenAI … and there goes my job

I gave myself 30 minutes to write an article by asking OpenAI six common investing questions. It searches billions of responses on the internet to generate answers, but you be the judge. Should I polish up my CV? 

The runway to retirement is shorter than expected

Our new study suggests most older Australians are not actively planning for the final chapters of their working life. And the runway to retirement is shorter than expected – most of us don’t work for as long as we intend to.

Watch out, it's not easy being the executor of an estate

An actuary warns of the frustrations he experienced as executor of his brother's will, a role he expected to be straightforward. He knew super does not automatically form part of an estate but there are traps for all to learn.

The most important industry globally which few understand

Many investors see Chinese property as an asset bubble that is popping. We think that assessment is incorrect and believe large, lowly indebted Chinese property developers offer a contrarian opportunity.

5 investment opportunities for a more positive 2023

The market’s myopia of 2022 has depressed valuation multiples on cyclically depressed earnings. The result is that many of the world’s most advantaged businesses can be acquired today at prices that are far below intrinsic value.

Asset Class Gameboard shows all good things must end

The Asset Class Gameboard for the last 20 years offers many lessons for investors, with the winner changing almost every year. 2022 delivered a number of extremes, but overall, equities win if investors can tolerate the risk.

Most viewed in recent weeks

Are LICs licked?

LICs are continuing to struggle with large discounts and frustrated investors are wondering whether it’s worth holding onto them. This explains why the next 6-12 months will be make or break for many LICs.

Retirement income expectations hit new highs

Younger Australians think they’ll need $100k a year in retirement - nearly double what current retirees spend. Expectations are rising fast, but are they realistic or just another case of lifestyle inflation?

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 627 with weekend update

This week, I got the news that my mother has dementia. It came shortly after my father received the same diagnosis. This is a meditation on getting old and my regrets in not getting my parents’ affairs in order sooner.

  • 4 September 2025

5 charts every retiree must see…

Retirement can be daunting for Australians facing financial uncertainty. Understand your goals, longevity challenges, inflation impacts, market risks, and components of retirement income with these crucial charts.

Why super returns may be heading lower

Five mega trends point to risks of a more inflation prone and lower growth environment. This, along with rich market valuations, should constrain medium term superannuation returns to around 5% per annum.

Super crosses the retirement Rubicon

Australia's superannuation system faces a 'Rubicon' moment, a turning point where the focus is shifting from accumulation phase to retirement readiness, but unfortunately, many funds are not rising to the challenge.

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