Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 295

Cuffelinks Newsletter Edition 295

  •   1 March 2019
  •      
  •   

After months of debate on franking credits in our articles and comments, it's time to collect some data. This week we have a six question survey on your attitudes to Labor's proposal, which should take two minutes to complete.   

Even if Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen fully understands the impact of the proposed changes to imputation tax, how many of his Labor colleagues expected such an arcane subject to become a major political battleground? They must be asking if the fight is worth it. Wealthier people with large SMSFs will not be affected because they have taxable income from their accumulation assets, while many retirees with smaller, pension-only SMSFs will lose the franking refund. Is that true to Labor priorities?   

But neither side of politics is covered in glory on this. The Liberals led by Tim Wilson are using a parliamentary committee process to agitate against the refund policy, even requiring people who wanted to attend to register against the so-called 'retirement tax'. 

 

 


Wilson's Liberal colleague, Speaker of the House, Tony Smith, said Wilson's actions may be:

" ... seen to have caused damage to the committee's reputation and damage to the house committee more generally."

Over the months to the election, we need to see through the politics and into the principles, and watch for parties or media outlets turning more people off superannuation, such as on this poster.

There is a common perception that industry and retail super funds will retain franking credit refunds due to the amount of tax paid in a pooled structure, but this is not correct. Anyone contemplating switching should check which structures should retain refunds. And back on the parliamentary committee, a reader attended and was furious afterwards ... but not for the reason you might think. 

Jon Kalkman weighs into the debate by pointing out that franking credits form part of an individual's taxable income. Does Labor's policy change this basic principle?

Moving right along ...

Michael Collins believes we underappreciate the technical achievement of cloud computing, and forecasts its usage will double in the next few years.  

Since macro forecasting is not really our game here at Cuffelinks, we enjoyed Nick Griffin's argument that a company's S-curve of market traction will always beat the macro impacts.

Asset allocation techniques struggle to allow for multiple objectives, and Richard Rauch gives us a taste of his research into allowing for contrasting goals.

Most Australian investors have no money allocated to global high yield bonds, and Vivek Bommimakes the case for a diversifying investment with some unexpected characteristics. 

Professor Pamela Hanrahan provided significant parts of the background research that Kenneth Hayne's Commission relied on, so it's fascinating to hear her views on the Final Report.

This week's White Paper from Colonial First State is a more detailed technical piece analysing franking credits, and don't forget you can raise any other issues in Have Your Say

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

 

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

  •   1 March 2019
  •      
  •   

 

Leave a Comment:

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

13 million spare bedrooms: Rethinking Australia’s housing shortfall

We don’t have a housing shortage; we have housing misallocation. This explores why so many bedrooms go unused, what’s been tried before, and five things to unlock housing capacity – no new building required.

Latest Updates

3 ways to fix Australia’s affordability crisis

Our cost-of-living pressures go beyond the RBA: surging house prices, excessive migration, and expanding government programs, including the NDIS, are fuelling inflation, demanding bold, structural solutions.

Superannuation

The Division 296 tax is still a quasi-wealth tax

The latest draft legislation may be an improvement but it still has the whiff of a wealth tax about it. The question remains whether a golden opportunity for simpler and fairer super tax reform has been missed.

Superannuation

Is it really ‘your’ super fund?

Your super isn’t a bank account you own; it’s a trust you merely benefit from. So why would the Division 296 tax you personally on assets, income and gains you legally don’t own?

Shares

Inflation is the biggest destroyer of wealth

Inflation consistently undermines wealth, even in low-inflation environments. Whether or not it returns to target, investors must protect portfolios from its compounding impact on future living standards.

Shares

Picking the next sector winner

Global equity markets have experienced stellar returns in 2024 and 2025 led, in large part, by the boom in AI. Which sector could be the next star in global markets? This names three future winners.

Infrastructure

What investors should expect when investing in infrastructure: yield

The case for listed infrastructure is built on stable earnings and cash flows, which have sustained 4% dividend yields across cycles and supported consistent, inflation-linked long-term returns.

Investment strategies

Valuing AI: Extreme bubble, new golden era, or both

The US stock market sits in prolonged bubble territory, driven by AI enthusiasm. History suggests eventual mean reversion, reminding investors to weigh potential risks against current market optimism.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.