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29 January 2026

Home / Author: Neuberger Berman

Neuberger Berman

The inflation inflection: Adjusting to the new paradigm

Portfolios should be prepared for higher inflation and should contain not only assets that can mitigate against and take advantage of inflation, but also assets that can diversify against the uncertainty and volatility of the journey.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 1Q22

A fundamentally robust economy and a positive earnings and default outlook make the case for holding risky assets through 2022, in our view. But the likely transition to structurally higher inflation and higher interest rates, plus the risk of central bank policy errors, could be a recipe for elevated volatility.

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2022

With inflation top-of-mind for investors, we believe the Federal Reserve’s reaction function will likely be a key driver of real yields, the dollar and risk markets this year. Although we anticipate that inflation levels will ease, the decline will likely be shorter-lived and shallower than some expect.

Equity Market Outlook 1Q 2022

Given such a long list of concerns—from high asset valuations to a pandemic—the S&P 500 Index returns of 31%, 18% and 29% through 2019, 2020 and 2021 is impressive. Something more fundamental than that long list of concerns has kept on driving the market higher.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 4Q 2021

The immediate hurdles that we believe investors need to clear include supply disruptions and rising input costs, tighter fiscal and monetary conditions, and threats to growth in China. But which markets do we favor when core government bond yields remain so low?

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2021

A potential default in China and shifting policy in Europe have been key developments in an environment of volatility and higher yields. Investors should focus on reorienting portfolios in light of the 'two-way' investment environment that will likely emerge in 2022.

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Economy

Making sense of record high markets as the world catches fire

The post-World War Two economic system is unravelling, leading to huge shifts in currency, bond and commodity markets, yet stocks seem oblivious to the chaos. This looks to history as a guide for what’s next.

Australia’s generous housing subsidies face mounting political risk

Mark Carney has spoken of a rupture in the rules based system that has governed the world since 1945. That rupture means nations like Australia will need to boost defence spending and find savings elsewhere.

Shares

Finding yield on the ASX

With ASX dividend yields now below government bond yields, investors face an upside-down market where income is scarce, growth is muted, and careful selection of bond-like stocks has never mattered more.

Investment strategies

Digging for value among ASX miners

ASX miners are back in favour after playing second fiddle to banks for years. Is it too late to get in? Here are some thoughts on the large caps such as BHP and Rio, and the hot gold mining sector.

Gold

It’s economic reality, not fear-based momentum, driving gold higher

Most commentary on gold's recent record highs focus on it being the product of fear or speculative momentum. That's ignoring the deeper structural drivers at play. 

Investment strategies

Asia in 2026: Riding AI, reform and a shifting global order

Tariff turmoil tested Asia, but AI leadership, policy easing and reform momentum are restoring investor confidence and strengthening the region’s outlook for 2026. 

Investment strategies

Investors beware: Bull markets don’t last forever

New research explains why high valuations, low dividends and bullish sentiment rarely coexist with strong long-term returns after extended bull markets. 

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