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9 October 2026

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Edition: 474

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 474 with weekend update

  • 8 September 2022
  • 16

While all the media attention focusses on the disquiet of borrowers facing rising interest rates, we overlook the investors who are enjoying a higher income flow on bonds and deposits. The pendulum seems to be swinging back to savers as interest rates rise. But doesn't inflation reduce the value of the debt to make it better for borrowers? Who is really winning from rising inflation?

Braving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors

There are always reasons to sell equities, but the current economic and geopolitical events seem worse than most. Five experienced investors share their main lessons from 171 years in all types of markets.

The right way to invest in a thematic is not an index

Investing in Asia is challenging but with younger populations, many countries face less wage and inflation pressures than the West. Buying the index rarely pays off as it's more about finding the winning companies.

Three key themes that will drive markets this year

Amid the blur of company results, it's vital to step back and check the major factors affecting results: inflation, consumer spending and cashflow. What are the companies emphasising in their one-on-one meetings?

If I get kicked out of the value investors’ club, so be it

When a value investor holds a large proportion of companies with good growth potential, does that mean a style has changed? With customer acquisition costs now expensed upfront, economic reality is understated.

Five possible market scenarios guide your asset allocation

In volatile markets, asset allocation should consider scenarios based on differing likelihoods. There are always a number of low probability, extreme outcomes so don't assume the central case is the only possibility.

The data doesn't lie: dividends on Resources versus Industrials

Boosted by high commodity prices and strong demand, resource companies have delivered a rapid growth in dividends. At the same time, some industrials conserved their capital. Where are dividends coming from longer term?

Jobs Summit keynote: the changing Australian economy

Politicians, unions, business executives and economists met at the Jobs and Skills Summit last week, and the opening address has been widely praised for capturing the problems faced and suggesting solutions.

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Why spending more in early retirement can improve lifetime income

Conventional wisdom encourages retirees to preserve superannuation. But if those likely to qualify for the Age Pension later in life spend a little more today, it may deliver higher lifetime income and a more stable retirement.

It’s time for LICs to die

A high-profile dividend cut and a prominent fund manager’s apology have reignited a long-running debate. If investors can access similar exposures more cheaply and efficiently elsewhere, what exactly is keeping LICs alive?

Testamentary trusts survived the trust tax. The drafting battle has just begun.

The fight over testamentary trusts looked settled. Then the draft legislation arrived. Hidden in a technical detail is a question that could force many families to rethink wills they thought were already future-proof.

Is it time to bail on Australian stocks?

For generations, Australian investors have backed banks, miners and dividends. But has that loyalty come at a cost? A look at the numbers raises an uncomfortable question about where future returns will come from.

The new capital gains tax trap for your portfolio

Investors have long accepted one portfolio rule without much question. A major tax shift could change that calculation entirely, forcing difficult trade-offs between risk, discipline and an overlooked cost lurking beneath.

The investing rule that explains the next market crash

What if investment success depends less on picking the right assets and more on understanding the decisions of other investors? A principle borrowed from game theory offers a different perspective on markets.

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