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Let's be clear: sustainability isn’t free

There’s a school of thought in parts of the investment community that the increasing focus on corporate sustainability is the ultimate win-win. This group contends that if employers pay their people more, it will result in higher sales and productivity and will ultimately reduce costs. They reason that cutting emissions will not only help the planet, but also bolster companies’ bottom lines.

Unfortunately, the reality couldn’t be further from the truth. Sustainability isn’t free, and in our view, efforts to become more sustainable will challenge many companies and perhaps even bankrupt some of them.

Accelerating trends

The pandemic accelerated many well-documented secular trends such as digital media, cloud computing and work-from-home. But it also hastened less obvious ones, such as loneliness, wealth inequality and interestingly, investor demand for changes in corporate behaviour.

While we can point to numerous data points to illustrate mounting investor interest in ESG (Environment, Social and Governance) through fund flows, to us, what’s more noteworthy is the growing recognition by management teams of the need for more sustainable business practices.

For instance, as shown on the left-hand side of Exhibit 1, there was a jump in the number of S&P 500 companies that referenced corporate social responsibility (CSR) in quarterly earnings calls during 2020. The right-hand side of the exhibit looks at the number of global companies that referenced, during earnings calls, any of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a set of global objectives agreed to by the UN General Assembly in 2015 to improve the quality of life worldwide. It shows a similarly large year-on-year increase.

Why sustainability matters

There is a long list of reasons why civil society, governments and special interest groups are concerned with ESG issues. The most notable one, of course, is that addressing them is critical to the long-term success of our global community. The ramifications, for example, of issues such as runaway climate change or rising income inequality, if left unresolved, are likely to be profoundly negative.

Our point of emphasis, however, is the changing reaction function of companies. Now that investors are focusing on sustainable business practices, management teams have begun to pay attention. And that matters. A lot.

Materiality is key

Sustainability will drive new business opportunities for some while exacerbating risks for others, leading to substantial divergences in the long-term enterprise value of many companies. But what is largely lost in the current ESG narrative is financial materiality. Which of course affects financial asset prices.

A sharp rise in the US minimum wage, for instance, would no doubt challenge a number of business models. Certain retailers would face particular challenges. If companies in this sector are going out of business at an alarming rate while paying the US federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour, how can they possibly hope to survive if the wage increases to $15?

Some retailers will be able to adapt due to their competitive positioning or other strengths, and in fact some already have, with bonuses and salary increases since the pandemic began, but many will find that sustainability concerns pose major challenges to their profitability.

Producers of fossil fuels and companies reliant on their use will also face high hurdles. Many in the oil industry are banking on a growing middle class in emerging markets to underpin demand and help maintain the status quo. However, over two-thirds of oil demand is tied to automobiles powered by internal combustion engines, and we believe that mode of propulsion will become antique in the not-too-distant future. Cumbersome organisations that are slow to recognise and adapt to this change are unlikely to survive.

Many incumbents will struggle

Looking back over the past 100 years, one thing is clear: Industry incumbents don’t fare well in the face of disruptive technologies. And the move toward sustainability is a disruptive force akin to the industrial revolution or the advent of the internet. It will define society and the investment landscape for decades.

But it won’t be free. There will be winners and some very big losers. This new paradigm is unfolding during a period in which risk premia are at all-time lows, underlining the importance of allocating capital responsibly.

 

Robert Wilson is a Research Analyst, and Robert M. Almeida is a Global Investment Strategist and Portfolio Manager at MFS Investment Management. This article is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. Comments, opinions and analysis are rendered as of the date given and may change without notice due to market conditions and other factors. This article is issued in Australia by MFS International Australia Pty Ltd (ABN 68 607 579 537, AFSL 485343), a sponsor of Firstlinks.

For more articles and papers from MFS, please click here.

Unless otherwise indicated, logos and product and service names are trademarks of MFS® and its affiliates and may be registered in certain countries.

 

5 Comments
Carlo
April 01, 2021

A sort of aside comment if I may? When ESG became a serious factor for firms of any size or all is to my mind not seriously material. The real issue is it's positioning as the new corporate fad kid on the block (whenever it started) aimed at being seen to be interested in such responsibility areas either to earn a tick on surveys and/or to be measured as a socially responsible organisation. As such ESG has become somewhat generic now for most! It has to appear in credos, mission statements and objectives - BUT none of that ensures it's a living dynamic across a company. On the contrary I suggest - too many organisations's approach to ESG has become yet another symbolism to match internal and external expectations. So not sure whether measuring ESG is any guide to a company's performance.
Dealings with or analyses of any ESG company would quickly show that like so many other symbolic gestures eg CX, Quality, etc most organisations fall far short of genuine benchmarks - their own and external. As with Mission Statements or any other publicly claimed socially responsible benchmark - ESG has to become the living "soul" throughout all operations including customers, suppliers and so forth. Proclaiming an ESG culture seldom achieves that as many employees and outsiders recognise. Carlo

Warren Bird
April 06, 2021

I agree with you Carlo. As the CEO of a business that's been investing according to responsible principles for 40 years, while I believe that there's a lot of very genuine improvement in company behaviour in relation to ESG, there's a long way to go. The failure of ethics at Rio last year is a case in point - all the 'talk' from Rio in presentations to investors during the last few years had been about them taking a more responsible approach, but when it came to the 'walk' it all blew up in their face.
I think that among the investment management industry, there's been a lot more definite movement in the direction of serious, genuine ESG adoption. At the Uniting Church we think we're actually well ahead of most, having evolved how we implement our principles into our decision-making more and more deeply over the years. Our current focus is the alignment of our ethical principles with the Sustainable Development Goals, an alignment that was signed off externally for our pioneering Sustainable Bond issue 18 months ago, but we definitely feel the competition breathing down our necks.
Part of what we do is to engage (directly and through our external managers) companies on key issues to encourage genuine adoption of responsible practices. EG we're encouraging companies that are below the legislated threshold in respect of Modern Slavery to voluntarily comply and report.
The phrase I use is that ESG, or ethics, or responsible investing, needs to be in a company's or an investment manager's DNA - similar to your 'living soul' idea. We're quite a way from that, but things are moving.

Warren Bird
April 01, 2021

This is a strange article. Ever since ESG first came onto the radar with the United Nations Principles for Responsible Investment being launched and fund managers signing up to the PRI around 15 years ago, the emphasis has been on how ESG factors create investment risk that needs to be managed.
Investment risks, as in things like the potential for stranded assets as the world moved away from fossil fuels.
Investment risks, as in the the potential for companies that failed to take social responsibility seriously being abandoned by their customers.
Investment risks, as in the potential for a company that had a governance failure to see share price damage from the loss of reputation that went with that.

I'm not aware of anyone who has taken ESG seriously EVER talking about there being no 'losers' as a result of responsible investment becoming the way that capital was deployed in the market.

I'm not aware of anyone saying that adapting to a world in which ESG factors are taken seriously was going to be, to use George's words in his comment, 'one jolly ride for everyone'.

It was always - and still remains - a transition that the world must make and will make to a sustainable future, with the transition resulting in certain activities that are currently making money becoming loss making.

And certainly, as we've seen with the Rio situation last year, there will be losers among corporate executives who don't take it seriously!

So, as I said a strange article, a bit of a strawman argument I'd have thought. What it says is true enough - ESG investment principles becoming mainstream are a massive disruptive force. But it's not providing a much-needed reality check, it's just stating what the industry has known all along, I'd have thought. ESG risks are real and need to be taken into account if you don't want your investment portfolio to erode or blow up.

Michael Walsh
April 04, 2021

Hear hear Warren!

George
April 01, 2021

Finally, a reality check on all the ESG stuff, that some companies will be losers and it's not one jolly joy ride for everyone.

 

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