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13 August 2025
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The rapid change in long-term bond yields, particularly over the past 12 months, has been the primary cause of the decline in the market value of our portfolios, and has represented the worst macro environment for long-duration assets, in a very long time.Despite recent declines in our portfolios, the underlying fundamentals have not deteriorated, with our companies' competitive positions and long-term earnings growth profiles remaining strong. Short-term fears about recession, temporary increases in bond yields and inflation are 'noise' and should not be our focus. Instead, focus should be on long-term valuations representing 'signal'.
A cyclical recession over the next year is unlikely to impact our portfolios' long-term forecast EPS and valuations due to our high levels of innovation and low penetration rates. In a world where growth will again become scarce, businesses that grow by taking market share will be in a strong position to produce attractive returns over the long term. The current selloff is providing an opportunity for long-term investors to get exposure to some of the best businesses in the world at attractive prices.Short-term factors are mere 'noise' rather than fundamental long-term 'signals'.You can find further thought pieces from Hyperion on our website here.
Download the full paper
Each generation believes its economic challenges were uniquely tough - but what does the data say? A closer look reveals a more nuanced, complex story behind the generational hardship debate.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers aims to tackle tax reform but faces challenges. Previous reviews struggled due to political sensitivities, highlighting the need for comprehensive and politically feasible change.
The Labor government is talking up tax reform to lift Australia’s ailing economic growth. Before any changes are made, it’s important to know who pays tax, who owns assets, and how much people have in their super for retirement.
With Div. 296 looming, is there a smarter way to tax superannuation? This proposes a fairer, income-linked alternative that respects compounding, ensures predictability, and avoids taxing unrealised capital gains.
This goes through the different options including shares, property and business ownership and declares a winner, as well as outlining the mindset needed to earn enough to never have to work again.
China's steel production, equivalent to building one Sydney Harbour Bridge every 10 minutes, has driven Australia's economic growth. With China's slowdown, what does this mean for Australia's economy and investments?
After a stellar 2025 to date for equities, warning signs - from speculative froth to stretched valuations - suggest the market’s calm may be masking deeper fragilities. Strategic rebalancing feels increasingly timely.
Everyone has a theory as to why housing in Australia is so expensive. There are a lot of different factors at play, from skewed migration patterns to banking trends and housing's status as a national obsession.
Blackberry clung on to the superiority of keyboards at the beginning of the touchscreen era and paid the ultimate price. Could the rise of agentic AI and a new generation of hardware do something similar to Apple?
The bond market is quietly regaining strength. As rate cuts loom and economic growth moderates, high-quality credit and global fixed income present renewed opportunities for investors seeking income and stability.
Companies trading at over 10x revenue now account for over 20% of the MSCI World index, levels not seen since the dotcom bubble. Can these shares create lasting value, or are they destined to unravel?