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Harry Chemay

Diversification’s focus moves to matching future needs

Diversification thinking has evolved from risk and correlations to a focus on matching the future expected liabilities of an investor. It can change the way assets are allocated.

Diversification lessons from the GFC

While diversification makes sense in theory, how did it hold up during the global financial crisis? Follow the crisis through the lens of correlations and diversification.

Diversification: past, present and future

Follow diversification's past, present and future in this three-part series. Part one takes us from Shakespeare’s Merchant of Venice to the classic strategic asset allocation pie chart used throughout the investing world today.

The 4% Rule for retirement withdrawals may be too high

Australian research on retirement withdrawal rates challenges the long-accepted ‘4% Rule’ used by many planning professionals when advising self-funded retirees. The optimal rate? Well, let's start a conversation.

Bill & Ted’s (Not So) Excellent Sequencing Adventure

The timing of returns can produce very different retirement outcomes, especially if poor returns occur when a nest egg is at its maximum. We cannot assume the average return over time will deliver as intended.

In super, the Danes are great, Australia a close third

Australia’s superannuation system has been judged to be the third best retirement system in the world. This is a good result, but Denmark's system shows how the judges think it can be improved.

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Economy

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

Superannuation

No, Division 296 does not tax franking credits twice

Claims that Division 296 double-taxes franking credits misunderstand imputation: franking credits are SMSF income, not company tax, and ensure earnings are taxed once at the correct rate.

Investment strategies

Who will get left holding the banks?

For the first time in decades, the Big 4 banks have real competition in home loans. Macquarie is quickly gain market share, which threatens both the earnings and dividends of the major banks in the years ahead.

Investment strategies

AI economic scenarios: revolutionary growth, or recessionary bubble?

Investor focus is turning increasingly to AI-related risks: is it a bubble about to burst, tipping the US into recession? Or is it the onset of a third industrial revolution? And what would either scenario mean for markets?

Investment strategies

The long-term case for compounders

Cyclical stocks surge in upswings but falter in downturns. Compounders - reliable, scalable, resilient businesses - offer smoother, superior returns over the full investment cycle for patient investors.

Property

AREITs are not as passive as you may think

A-REITs are often viewed as passive rental vehicles, but today’s index tells a different story. Development and funds management now dominate earnings, materially increasing volatility and risk for the sector.

Australia’s quiet dairy boom — and the investment opportunity

Dairy farming offers real asset exposure, steady income and long-term growth, yet remains overlooked by investors seeking diversification beyond traditional asset classes.

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