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AMP Capital

Five reasons to expect a cooling property market and falling prices in 2023

The main drivers behind the expected slowdown in Australian home prices are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; and a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risk on the upside would be a fast return to pre-covid immigration.

Five ways to turn down the noise and stay focused as an investor

The risks around investing seem to receive ever higher prominence these days as the digital age enables the rapid dissemination of news and opinion. The danger is that all this noise is making us worse investors as we lurch from one worry to the next. The key to investor success is to manage the noise and stay focussed.

The 2021-22 Australian Budget

The 2021-22 Budget sees the Government ditch its plan to start budget repair (or austerity) once unemployment is 'comfortably below 6%' in favour of continuing to focus on growing the economy to drive full employment and, in doing so, repair the budget that way.

Bull market in Australian house prices may be close to the end

So here we go again with yet another cyclical property boom against the backdrop of poor affordability and high debt levels! Of course we all know this, but how does the latest upswing fit in the context of the long-term or secular swings in the Australian property market?

Market outlook 2021 Q&A

A Q&A on the investment outlook including the global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash and Australian house prices.

Real Assets Outlook

From across AMP Capital’s global offices, various Infrastructure and Real Assets teams share their key themes for the year ahead and how investors can access the opportunities that emerge.

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Investment strategies

Putting portfolios together when the world is falling apart

Global equity markets have grown more correlated due to globalization, but this trend may reverse which boosts the benefits of cross-country diversification.

Property

Housing belongs in the inequality story

Research highlights the significant impact of excluding housing income from income inequality analysis in Australia, arguing for the inclusion of imputed rent and capital gains to provide a more accurate picture.

Exchange traded products

Lithium's rally is real this time – but no-one trusts it

The lithium rally mirrors the early-2010s tech stock surge, with demand set to double by 2030. Supply has been slow to respond, creating a market deficit for future tech like humanoid robotics and solid-state batteries.

Economy

Why is Aussie inflation so stubborn?

Increasing our official cash rate contrasts with almost every other developed country in the world. Canada, UK, Europe, and USA, so far, have not reversed recent cuts while their inflation issues appear to be contained.

Strategy

How to stop Australian democracy going the way of the US

Around the world, democracy as a system of government is backsliding. After more than 50 years of liberal democracy in ascendancy, democratic progress plateaued around the turn of the century and is now going backwards.

Economy

Off-budget, but not off-the hook

Financial commentators await the federal budget with focus on debt and deficit. 'Off-budget' accounting alters the fiscal picture with unseen programs.

Economy

Shares rebound on hopes of war ending, but stalemate the likely outcome

Ashley Owen's abridged monthly snapshot uncovers what is front of mind for investors around the world and his view on the likely outcome of the stand-off in the Middle East.

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