Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 314

Welcome to the Firstlinks Edition 314

Welcome to the Firstlinks Edition 314
Graham Hand

Graham Hand


Strange times indeed. Despite US and Australian equity markets near all-time highs and superannuation funds enjoying record inflows, the wealth industry is undergoing a severe overhaul. Unprecedented numbers of fund managers are not only struggling but closing their doors. AMP is desperate to define a coherent advice strategy. Deutsche Bank announced a worldwide cull of 18,000 jobs, with an Australian closure of equity research, trading, sales, derivatives and capital markets. Financial advice groups are wondering how they will survive without grandfathered commissions, and many advisers will leave the industry.

What is disrupting asset managers? We lead with 10 reasons why many fund managers are quitting the market or shutting funds, and it has little to do with the popular excuses for everything like the Royal Commission, the Productivity Commission or technology changes.

Continuing our Interview SeriesNathan Hughes of Perpetual Investments explains how he manages an ethical fund and the importance of sticking to some long-term, proven principles.

Last time I went to Europe, €1,000 cost me A$1,620, but at the airport, the price would have been over A$2,000. Marcus Christoe offers four better ways to manage your FX travel needs.

What a turnaround in property since the election! Justin McCarthy shows why it has improved, and the implications for investors in the fixed interest funding markets.

Water resources and agribusiness have made headlines recently, and Cullen Gunn says investing in food and water assets is undergoing much greater sophistication.

Into the tax year, Julie Steed explains the new work test exemptions, while Warren Bird pushes back on those people who think they are somehow entitled to an age pension.

We prefer to focus on enduring investing ideas rather than speculate about the direction of markets. Every day, there are opposing views about the future prospects for the economy and stockmarkets, and I have no better predictive abilities than rolling a dice. Central banks seem determined to do 'whatever it takes' to prevent falling prices driven by deflationary forces, and who knows when the market will punish them. Selling 'risk assets' and holding cash for protection has been the wrong strategy for almost a decade.

This week's White Paper by MFS Investment Management called 'Emphasize the essentials' takes a similar critical view of trying to forecast the unknowable, including:

"It's better to look at what makes companies unique - their competitive advantages, ability to generate free cash flow and intellectual property - than it is to guess whether their cost of capital will decline by 25 basis points."

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

 

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

  •   12 July 2019
  •      
  •   

 

Leave a Comment:

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

13 million spare bedrooms: Rethinking Australia’s housing shortfall

We don’t have a housing shortage; we have housing misallocation. This explores why so many bedrooms go unused, what’s been tried before, and five things to unlock housing capacity – no new building required.

Latest Updates

Economy

Making sense of record high markets as the world catches fire

The post-World War Two economic system is unravelling, leading to huge shifts in currency, bond and commodity markets, yet stocks seem oblivious to the chaos. This looks to history as a guide for what’s next.

Australia’s generous housing subsidies face mounting political risk

Mark Carney has spoken of a rupture in the rules based system that has governed the world since 1945. That rupture means nations like Australia will need to boost defence spending and find savings elsewhere.

Shares

Finding yield on the ASX

With ASX dividend yields now below government bond yields, investors face an upside-down market where income is scarce, growth is muted, and careful selection of bond-like stocks has never mattered more.

Investment strategies

Digging for value among ASX miners

ASX miners are back in favour after playing second fiddle to banks for years. Is it too late to get in? Here are some thoughts on the large caps such as BHP and Rio, and the hot gold mining sector.

Gold

It’s economic reality, not fear-based momentum, driving gold higher

Most commentary on gold's recent record highs focus on it being the product of fear or speculative momentum. That's ignoring the deeper structural drivers at play. 

Investment strategies

Asia in 2026: Riding AI, reform and a shifting global order

Tariff turmoil tested Asia, but AI leadership, policy easing and reform momentum are restoring investor confidence and strengthening the region’s outlook for 2026. 

Investment strategies

Investors beware: Bull markets don’t last forever

New research explains why high valuations, low dividends and bullish sentiment rarely coexist with strong long-term returns after extended bull markets. 

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.