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World Gold Council

Gold Outlook 2025: Navigating rates, risk and growth

As we look to 2025, all eyes are focused on what Trump’s second term may mean for the global economy. Thrill-seeking investors may benefit from an early wave of risk-on flows, but potential trade wars and inflationary forces may spill over into an expected subpar economic growth.

Gold Demand Trends, Q3 2024

Total gold demand gained 5% y/y to 1,313t. This strength was reflected in the gold price, which reached a series of new record highs during the quarter. The value of demand jumped 35% y/y to exceed US$100bn for the first time ever.

Gold Demand Trends Q2 2024

Global gold demand was up 4% y/y by the end of June, led by healthy OTC demand, record central bank purchases and improved ETF flows. In Australia, record gold prices, a strong AUD and economic pressures led to a 25% fall in gold consumption in Q2, though ETF investment remained stable.

The Super Retirement Approach

Most people recognise the importance of having superannuation, which makes them feel more secure about their future, but acknowledge that it should not be the only source of funding for a comfortable retirement.

Gold Demand Trends Q1 2024

Global gold demand was up 3% y/y, led by long and speculative investment from the OTC market, persistent central bank buying, and higher demand from Asian buyers. Australia was an outlier in the Asia region, recording its lowest quarter on record for gold consumption, though ETF holdings remained relatively stable.

Why gold in 2024? Safeguarding investment portfolios

With the soft-landing narrative on the ascendancy, optimism is high within capital markets today. But challenges are on the horizon. As such, we believe that investors should look closely at the portfolio benefits gold can bring.

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Economy

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

Superannuation

No, Division 296 does not tax franking credits twice

Claims that Division 296 double-taxes franking credits misunderstand imputation: franking credits are SMSF income, not company tax, and ensure earnings are taxed once at the correct rate.

Investment strategies

Who will get left holding the banks?

For the first time in decades, the Big 4 banks have real competition in home loans. Macquarie is quickly gain market share, which threatens both the earnings and dividends of the major banks in the years ahead.

Investment strategies

AI economic scenarios: revolutionary growth, or recessionary bubble?

Investor focus is turning increasingly to AI-related risks: is it a bubble about to burst, tipping the US into recession? Or is it the onset of a third industrial revolution? And what would either scenario mean for markets?

Investment strategies

The long-term case for compounders

Cyclical stocks surge in upswings but falter in downturns. Compounders - reliable, scalable, resilient businesses - offer smoother, superior returns over the full investment cycle for patient investors.

Property

AREITs are not as passive as you may think

A-REITs are often viewed as passive rental vehicles, but today’s index tells a different story. Development and funds management now dominate earnings, materially increasing volatility and risk for the sector.

Australia’s quiet dairy boom — and the investment opportunity

Dairy farming offers real asset exposure, steady income and long-term growth, yet remains overlooked by investors seeking diversification beyond traditional asset classes.

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