Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 319

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 319

With the market's all-time high already drifting from the memory, let's repeat what the legendary Howard Marks told The Herald today, as we have before:

"You should not undertake investing without having thought about what your normal risk posture should be. It should be a function of your age, marital status, employment status, whether your income exceeds your needs or vice versa, whether you have assets in the bank, how many dependents you have, whether you hope to retire soon, what your ambitions are and whether you can withstand, intestinally, the rigours of volatility." (my bolding for a good word).

And also focus long term ...

A couple of weeks ago, a mate hosted his 70th birthday bash (thanks for asking, no, I am nowhere near that age). He was surrounded by his children, grandchildren and dozens of friends. As waiters brought out fine food and wine, he said the last few years had been the happiest of his life. He spends much of the year travelling or staying at his weekender.


In last week's Sun-HeraldAli MacGraw, voted in 1972 as the top female box-office star in the world and once married to the volatile Steve McQueen, said after a difficult life, "I am lucky, I am blessed and happy." On reaching the age of 80, she thought: "Oh my god, I'm going to be 80. The rest of the trip is so short compared with the one behind." But then defiantly, "Dammit, this is what 80 looks like."

While we were moving content to our new website, I came across an article by former Prime Minister, the Hon Paul Keating, in one of our early editions in 2013. He said that he originally designed the superannuationit for people from the ages of 55 to 75. But that's now changed: 

"So, we have two groups in retirement – a 60 to 80 group and an 80 to 100 group. The 60 to 80 group is all about retirement living and lifestyle, which I think the current superannuation system adequately caters for. But the 80 to 100 (which is technically, the period of life beyond the previous life expectancy) is more about maintenance and disability and less about lifestyle."

A chart from actuarial firm, Milliman, shows how people spend money in their later years. Note the health costs going up and the travel and leisure going down.
 


The message from my friend and Paul Keating and Ali MacGraw is that while 60 is indeed the new 40, make the most of it from 60 to 80 because 80 to 100 may not be as easy. And, of course, it helps if you have the money to pay for the travel and then the health. Dr Martin Fahy updates the numbers on how much retirees need for a 'modest' or 'comfortable' lifestyle.

Last week, I chatted with Adele Ferguson about her new book, Banking Bad. While I expected the book to cover only the Royal Commission, it's more a story about how banks ended up in such dire straits that they will pay remediation costs of around $10 billion. I suggested to Adele that among the terrible customer stories, many people are also taking advantage of the banks. She said she receives regular requests from aggrieved individuals asking her to "weave her magic".

Noel Whittaker also receives many emails from his followers, and increasingly, he is asked about property spruikers who continue to do their worst. Here are his warnings.

With tighter limits and ability to move money into superannuation, Matthew Collins suggests another way wealthier parents might assist their adult children to build their super, and David Bassanese shows how ETFs might help with portfolio rebalancing. It's a timely reminder also about diversification, as the ATO has announced

"At the end of August we’ll contact about 17,700 self-managed super fund (SMSF) trustees and their auditors where our records indicate the SMSF may be holding 90% or more of its funds in one asset or a single asset class.

We're concerned some trustees haven't given due consideration to diversifying their fund’s investments; this can put the fund’s assets at risk."


And while the five WAAAX stocks continue to grab the headlines, Keith Ward provides an excellent summary of the granddaddy of all boom stocks, Poseidon, and how it went from 80 cents to $280 in a few months. It's an important lesson in "the more things change ...".

Our new website launched on the weekend, and we provide a summary of ways you can find the right content to assist your investing. Take a moment to look around this resource designed for you.

Additional Features and the website include the latest ETF Report from BetaShares showing July 2019 was record-breaking for the industry, plus IIR examines LIC performance in FY2019 and checks some high-profile LICs.

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

 

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Simple maths says the AI investment boom ends badly

This AI cycle feels less like a revolution and more like a rerun. Just like fibre in 2000, shale in 2014, and cannabis in 2019, the technology or product is real but the capital cycle will be brutal. Investors beware.

Why we should follow Canada and cut migration

An explosion in low-skilled migration to Australia has depressed wages, killed productivity, and cut rental vacancy rates to near decades-lows. It’s time both sides of politics addressed the issue.

Are LICs licked?

LICs are continuing to struggle with large discounts and frustrated investors are wondering whether it’s worth holding onto them. This explains why the next 6-12 months will be make or break for many LICs.

Australian house price speculators: What were you thinking?

Australian housing’s 50-year boom was driven by falling rates and rising borrowing power — not rent or yield. With those drivers exhausted, future returns must reconcile with economic fundamentals. Are we ready?

Retirement income expectations hit new highs

Younger Australians think they’ll need $100k a year in retirement - nearly double what current retirees spend. Expectations are rising fast, but are they realistic or just another case of lifestyle inflation?

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 627 with weekend update

This week, I got the news that my mother has dementia. It came shortly after my father received the same diagnosis. This is a meditation on getting old and my regrets in not getting my parents’ affairs in order sooner.

  • 4 September 2025

Latest Updates

Shares

Why the ASX may be more expensive than the US market

On every valuation metric, the US appears significantly more expensive than Australia. However, American companies are also much more profitable than ours, which means the ASX may be more overvalued than most think.

Economy

No one holds the government to account on spending

Government spending is out of control and there's little sign that Labor will curb it. We need enforceable rules on spending and an empowered budget office to ensure governments act responsibly with taxpayers money.

Retirement

Why a traditional retirement may be pushed back 25 years

The idea of stopping work during your sixties is a man-made concept from another age. In a world where many jobs are knowledge based and can be done from anywhere, it may no longer make much sense at all.

Shares

The quiet winners of AI competition

The tech giants are in a money-throwing contest to secure AI supremacy and may fall short of high investor expectations. The companies supplying this arms race could offer a more attractive way to play AI adoption.

Preparing for aged care

Whether for yourself or a family member, it’s never too early to start thinking about aged care. This looks at the best ways to plan ahead, as well as the changes coming to aged care from November 1 this year.

Infrastructure

Renewable energy investment: gloom or boom?

ESG investing has fallen out of favour with many investors, and Trump's anti-green policies haven't helped. Yet, renewables investment is still surging, which could prove a boon for infrastructure companies.

Investing

The enduring wisdom of John Bogle in five quotes

From buying the whole market to controlling emotions, John Bogle’s legendary advice reminds investors that patience, discipline, and low costs are the keys to investment success in any market environment.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.