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Edition: 382

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Capital Group: What the U.S. election means for investors

Biden is close but Republicans will likely hold the Senate. A split Congress has historically resulted in higher market returns. Investors should note that company earnings, not elections, drive the stock market.

MFS Investments: Blue wave fails to reach shore

If he wins, Joe Biden will enter office with a weak mandate relative to expectations due to the underperformance of his party, but the executive branch wields a great deal of power in the regulatory framework.

Perpetual: Biden impact not as important as China for Australia

Over the long term it doesn’t matter who is the President as the US has thrived under different presidencies and parties. At least as important for Australia is the deterioration of our China relationship. 

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 382

  • 5 November 2020
  • 28

ELECTION UPDATE. At 3.20am AEST on Sunday, Joe Biden became the 46th US President by winning Pennsylvania. Donald Trump is yet to concede but he did much better than the polls expected. Despite a scandal-filled Presidency, 70 million Americans voted for him in 2020. Regardless of his own wealth and the way he used the Presidency for his own businesses, he managed to tap into the disillusion from the bottom 90% of Americans who combined own as much wealth as the Top 1%. Much has changed in the US since I holidayed there with my family in 1998.

Why tech companies trade at a premium

When Australian companies are marked against their role in tech disruption, stock market returns are higher for companies with higher tech disruption scores. They also benefit when valued using low interest rates.

Video: How Chris Cuffe finds fund managers who 'swing the bat'

Chris Cuffe has spent four decades selecting fund managers for multi-manager portfolios, and he explains what he looks for and why active management can work, as well as updating his investment lessons.

Video: Noel Whittaker on investing until you’re 100

Most people underspend in retirement as they do not know how long their money needs to last. There is no magic formula to address this but stay invested in growth assets and focus on health and relationships.

Momentum or rupture: has demand for oil already peaked?

At the moment, oil is the only energy source that can satisfy global demand, but low-carbon power is increasing supply and cost effectiveness. Will the oil price hold up while the fuel is gradually replaced?

Through the looking-glass: what counts is not tied to an index

Much investing is misguided by spurious measurement fixations. What really counts in the long run is authenticity, resonance and imagination rather than sticking to index weights and short-termism.

Four themes to set your portfolio for economic recovery

Sitting on the sidelines means missing the best days in the market and forgoing initial recovery periods that may include healthy index increases. Here are investment themes to guide through turbulence.

Britain amid COVID and the pain of the final exit talks

No option removes the existential threats to the UK stirred by its EU departure. What started in 2016 as enough voters defying the odds has left the UK dangling politically and economically amid a pandemic.

Most viewed in recent weeks

10 reasons wealthy homeowners shouldn't receive welfare

The RBA Governor says rising house prices are due to "the design of our taxation and social security systems". The OECD says "the prolonged boom in house prices has inflated the wealth of many pensioners without impacting their pension eligibility." What's your view?

House prices surge but falls are common and coming

We tend to forget that house prices often fall. Direct lending controls are more effective than rate rises because macroprudential limits affect the volume of money for housing leaving business rates untouched.

Survey responses on pension eligibility for wealthy homeowners

The survey drew a fantastic 2,000 responses with over 1,000 comments and polar opposite views on what is good policy. Do most people believe the home should be in the age pension asset test, and what do they say?

100 Aussies: five charts on who earns, pays and owns

Any policy decision needs to recognise who is affected by a change. It pays to check the data on who pays taxes, who owns assets and who earns the income to ensure an equitable and efficient outcome.

Three good comments from the pension asset test article

With articles on the pensions assets test read about 40,000 times, 3,500 survey responses and thousands of comments, there was a lot of great reader participation. A few comments added extra insights.

The sorry saga of housing affordability and ownership

It is hard to think of any area of widespread public concern where the same policies have been pursued for so long, in the face of such incontrovertible evidence that they have failed to achieve their objectives.

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