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Roger Montgomery

Where to from here for house prices?

After a strong run for house prices, changes in bank and regulatory policies will take some steam out of the market. For the longer term good of the market, it may be better to have a pause while fundamental values catch up.

How are the returns on your equity?

An important ratio for analysing companies is the ‘return on equity’, but while it may seem to be a simple measure of the earning power of a business, it can tell much more.

Learning when to buy and sell shares

Once you have formed a view on the intrinsic value of a company, you can cut through the noise of fashion and sentiment to strengthen your portfolio, buying shares when undervalued and perhaps selling when overpriced.

Even Buffett has evolved from Ben Graham

Ben Graham’s brilliant investment insights have served investors well since the 1940s, including Buffett. But many companies are different today and it makes sense to update and move on.

Estimating a share’s intrinsic value 101

When building an investment portfolio it's a good idea to buy quality companies at a discount to intrinsic value. But what is that, and how does it fit into portfolio construction?

How to think rationally about shares

Whether it’s too difficult or produces too much volatility, few investors simply purchase a portfolio of 15 to 20 excellent businesses at attractive prices, and give them time to deliver the returns. Why settle for less?

Latest Updates

Taxation

3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger

With the upcoming budget increasingly likely to include bold proposals to alter the tax code I’ve outlined three incremental steps with fewer unintended consequences.

Economy

Why an extended US-Iran war will punish mortgage holders

The impact of the Iran War is far more than expensive petrol. Higher oil prices have secondary inflationary impacts that reverberate throughout the economy which could be bad news for Australians with mortgages.

Infrastructure

Don’t forget the yield

Global Listed Infrastructure dividends are forecast to grow 5-6% p.a over the next two years. After a hiatus, share buybacks are back on the agenda and will play an integral role in shareholder returns.

Iran war hands politicians free ticket to blame oil prices for inflation

Past oil shocks offer lessons for investors dealing with the fallout from the Iran War and the ongoing impact on inflation.

Economy

Japan 2026: A new PM heralds a new golden age?

Former Australian Prime Minister, Paul Keating, once said "When you change the government, you change the country." We're about to see whether that holds true in Japan.

Investment strategies

Why are central banks moving from US Treasuries to gold?

Central banks now hold more gold reserves than US Treasuries, signalling a shift in safe-haven asset strategy and portfolio diversification as geopolitical risks increase.

Strategy

Has global human wellbeing peaked? What the data reveals

Historically economic progress is measured by GDP growth but there is an increasing body of work that explores quantitative measures of wellbeing.

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