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2 May 2024

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Tomorrow’s innovation, today’s investment opportunity

In an age of artificial intelligence bringing transformative changes to industries, innovative companies will continue to win, and win big. Here's a guide about how to identify the companies with long growth runways.

A guide to investing in a US election year

US Presidential elections can be divisive and unsettling, and at times, it can seem like the fate of the world hangs in the balance. But when it comes to investing, do elections really matter all that much?

Cash underperforms when rates peak

History tells us that hiding in cash isn't the best approach when interest rates peak. While equity markets have had a strong year driven by the ‘Magnificent Seven’ stocks, the rally might broaden to other sectors in 2024.

A struggling US dollar bodes well for markets outside America

Powerful tailwinds are forming behind certain areas of global equity markets that previously spent many years in the wilderness. Chief among them are stockmarkets in Europe and Japan, which have surged in recent months.

Reshoring supply chains: What does it mean for investors?

Perhaps the most consequential lesson from the pandemic for companies is that relying on single links in the global supply chain is a mistake. Here's how businesses are adjusting and the implications for investors.

Buying dividend growth over dividend yield

Investors should look beyond high-yield stocks to include dividend growers – ones that pay and consistently grow dividends. These stocks can more sustainably increase dividends and generate real long-term returns.

5 big trends shaping markets for the next decade

The world is undergoing significant changes and investors will need to reset their expectations about how a typical investing environment will look. Here are five seismic shifts that will define the next decade.

Braving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors

There are always reasons to sell equities, but the current economic and geopolitical events seem worse than most. Five experienced investors share their main lessons from 171 years in all types of markets.

Equity investing in an inflationary environment

How do investors build resilience into equity portfolios when faced with inflation? Dividend-income could play a more important role but at extremes of inflation, global equities have tended to struggle.

Five charts show investors should care about US midterm elections

Distracted by inflation and Ukraine worries, the market is overlooking that the US midterm elections due on 8 November 2022 usually impact equities. As US markets affect all others, what are the implications?

The future of media: It's game on, now!

Anyone investing in media must understand the momentous change and disruption underway. During a span of just 21 days, US$85 billion of M&A centred on video games, which is now bigger than the movie industry.

2022 outlook: buy a raincoat but don't put it on yet

In the 11th year of a bull market, near the end of the cycle, some type of correction is likely. Underneath is solid, healthy and underpinned by strong earnings growth, but there's less room for mistakes.

5 new trends driving the future of biotech companies

The biotech industry has seen an explosion of new techniques which will lead to innovative areas of growth in the use of cells and genes as medicine. Money for funding life sciences and biotech pharma has soared.

Which companies have the pricing power to fight inflation?

Company pricing power will be a crucial competitive advantage in the year ahead. There are signs that inflation could linger, but some companies and industries have the ability to grow their margins.

10 trends reshaping the future of emerging markets

Demand for air travel, China’s growing middle-class population, Brazil’s digital payments take-up, Indian IPOs, and increased urbanisation are just some of the trends being seen in emerging economies.

How real are the three key regulatory risks facing Big Tech?

Drawing on experience as a bank analyst who studied the legislative process during the GFC, an internet analyst now has a unique insight into three key risks faced by Big Tech and implications for share prices.

Five reasons why EM equities could power ahead in 2021

A broader rebound beyond tech companies is likely to accelerate. Structural reforms may regain momentum after COVID and a lower risk premium is warranted for emerging markets equities compared with prior crises.

The world in 2030: Six investing tips for the next decade

Six portfolio managers look at how life may change by the end of the decade and how shifting trends are influencing their investment decisions. It's an optimistic view of the world in 2030 as a better place.

Retirement changes everything: a post-retirement investing framework

Categorising post-retirement needs – living, lifestyle, legacy and contingency – creates a framework for retirees. Advisers can translate these needs into investment goals and portfolios.

Capital Group: What the U.S. election means for investors

Biden is close but Republicans will likely hold the Senate. A split Congress has historically resulted in higher market returns. Investors should note that company earnings, not elections, drive the stock market.

My lessons from five decades of investing

As she retires after 47 years as a portfolio manager, Claudia Huntington explains the art rather than the science of investing, the value of a great leader and culture, and the insights she gives to new colleagues.

10 investment themes for the next 10 years

With the short-term focus on the pandemic and speculation about vaccines, it's refreshing to journey to 2030 and imagine the long-term changes coming on the investment horizon.

Is 5G all hype or real investable opportunity?

While its impact will take time to unfold, 5G will meaningfully change the world. Once adoption takes hold, there is huge potential for its application across a wide range of industries.

Three realities and three mistakes in market recoveries

It's not easy focussing on the long term when the short-term news is bad, but strong businesses find a way to thrive when times are tough. Here are three timeless facts and three evergreen mistakes.

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2024/25 super thresholds – key changes and implications

The ATO has released all the superannuation rates and thresholds that will apply from 1 July 2024. Here's what’s changing and what’s not, and some key considerations and opportunities in the lead up to 30 June and beyond.

Five months on from cancer diagnosis

Life has radically shifted with my brain cancer, and I don’t know if it will ever be the same again. After decades of writing and a dozen years with Firstlinks, I still want to contribute, but exactly how and when I do that is unclear.

Uncomfortable truths: The real cost of living in retirement

How useful are the retirement savings and spending targets put out by various groups such as ASFA? Not very, and it's reducing the ability of ordinary retirees to fully understand their retirement income options.

Is Australia ready for its population growth over the next decade?

Australia will have 3.7 million more people in a decade's time, though the growth won't be evenly distributed. Over 85s will see the fastest growth, while the number of younger people will barely rise. 

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 552 with weekend update

Being rich is having a high-paying job and accumulating fancy houses and cars, while being wealthy is owning assets that provide passive income, as well as freedom and flexibility. Knowing the difference can reframe your life.

  • 21 March 2024

Why LICs may be close to bottoming

Investor disgust, consolidation, de-listings, price discounts, activist investors entering - it’s what typically happens at business cycle troughs, and it’s happening to LICs now. That may present a potential opportunity.

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